DRH
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DiamondRock Hospitality Company (DRH) closed at $12.31 as of 2026-06-19, trading 51.7% above its 200-week moving average of $8.11. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 47.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 82, DRH is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.19 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1051 weeks of data, DRH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DRH at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +4.3%.
With a market cap of $2.5 billion, DRH is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.9%. Return on equity stands at 6.9%. The stock trades at 1.7x book value.
Over the past 20.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DRH would have grown to $156, compared to $850 for the S&P 500. DRH has returned 2.2% annualized vs 11.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: DRH vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DRH Crosses Below the Line?
Across 32 historical episodes, buying DRH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +6.2% after 12 months (median +8.0%), compared to +12.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 61% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +6.0% vs +32.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DRH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices DRH would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where DRH's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $9.23 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $9.67 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $10.15 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $10.69 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $11.29 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from DRH's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
DRH has crossed below its 200-week MA 32 times with an average 1-year return of +4.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2007 | Apr 2010 | 120 | 78.0% | -62.4% | +54.1% |
| May 2010 | Oct 2010 | 22 | 21.7% | +12.5% | +103.6% |
| Nov 2010 | Nov 2010 | 1 | 0.4% | -10.6% | +98.7% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 12 | 20.8% | +16.7% | +128.2% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 5.7% | +11.7% | +143.8% |
| Oct 2012 | Nov 2012 | 4 | 4.6% | +44.1% | +122.2% |
| Jun 2013 | Jun 2013 | 1 | 1.4% | +48.9% | +106.5% |
| Nov 2015 | Nov 2015 | 1 | 0.0% | -0.7% | +57.4% |
| Dec 2015 | Nov 2016 | 51 | 25.4% | +16.4% | +63.0% |
| May 2017 | May 2017 | 1 | 0.2% | +18.6% | +48.6% |
| Feb 2018 | Mar 2018 | 1 | 3.7% | +9.7% | +49.2% |
| Mar 2018 | Apr 2018 | 2 | 5.7% | +13.5% | +52.3% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 0.5% | +2.4% | +43.7% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 8 | 11.8% | +9.7% | +46.1% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 4 | 4.4% | -42.7% | +48.2% |
| Jan 2020 | Feb 2020 | 1 | 0.6% | -15.2% | +42.8% |
| Feb 2020 | Feb 2021 | 51 | 60.0% | +11.0% | +51.4% |
| Jul 2021 | Sep 2021 | 10 | 8.3% | -7.3% | +52.3% |
| Oct 2021 | Nov 2021 | 1 | 0.4% | +3.7% | +52.8% |
| Nov 2021 | Dec 2021 | 3 | 6.1% | +9.2% | +62.5% |
| Jan 2022 | Jan 2022 | 1 | 1.2% | +8.7% | +54.7% |
| Apr 2022 | Apr 2022 | 1 | 0.1% | -8.9% | +53.8% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 6 | 7.9% | -2.9% | +64.8% |
| Aug 2022 | Sep 2022 | 1 | 2.8% | -4.9% | +60.8% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 4 | 14.9% | +5.6% | +84.1% |
| Oct 2022 | Nov 2022 | 1 | 1.8% | N/A | +59.8% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 4 | 7.3% | +8.5% | +59.4% |
| Mar 2023 | Oct 2023 | 34 | 13.6% | +18.8% | +65.7% |
| May 2024 | Sep 2024 | 18 | 6.7% | -3.3% | +58.9% |
| Oct 2024 | Nov 2024 | 1 | 1.6% | -3.8% | +54.9% |
| Feb 2025 | Aug 2025 | 26 | 16.5% | +26.2% | +58.0% |
| Sep 2025 | Nov 2025 | 6 | 7.4% | N/A | +57.0% |
| Average | 12 | — | +4.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DRH below its 200-week moving average?
No. DiamondRock Hospitality Company (DRH) is currently 51.7% above its 200-week moving average of $8.11. It would need to fall to $8.11 to cross below the line.
What is DRH's 200-week moving average price?
DiamondRock Hospitality Company's 200-week moving average is $8.11 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when DRH drops below its 200-week moving average?
DRH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +4.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.
Is DRH a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about DRH as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 82 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 3.9%. Return on equity is 6.9%. Price-to-book is 1.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does DRH compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 20.2 years, $100 invested in DRH would have grown to $156, compared to $850 for the S&P 500. That's 2.2% annualized vs 11.2% for the index. DRH has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does DRH pay a dividend?
Yes. DiamondRock Hospitality Company currently pays a dividend yield of 299.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19