DQ
Daqo New Energy Corp. Technology - Solar Polysilicon Investor Relations →
Daqo New Energy Corp. (DQ) closed at $14.18 as of 2026-06-19, trading 49.7% below its 200-week moving average of $28.18. This places DQ in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -44.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 19, DQ is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.82 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 771 weeks of data, DQ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DQ at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.7%.
With a market cap of $960 million, DQ is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -4.2%. The stock trades at 0.2x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 10.4% over the past three years.
Over the past 14.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DQ would have grown to $405, compared to $859 for the S&P 500. DQ has returned 9.9% annualized vs 15.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: DQ vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DQ Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying DQ when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.4% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +15.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +57.6% vs +30.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DQ crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. DQ currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from DQ's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
DQ has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +10.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2011 | Sep 2013 | 106 | 87.9% | -83.3% | +192.4% |
| May 2014 | May 2014 | 2 | 11.0% | +11.3% | +209.5% |
| Jul 2014 | Aug 2014 | 3 | 5.6% | -20.4% | +175.1% |
| Jan 2015 | Feb 2015 | 6 | 13.3% | -37.0% | +246.0% |
| Jul 2015 | Apr 2016 | 38 | 38.8% | +21.7% | +287.9% |
| Jun 2016 | Jun 2016 | 2 | 8.0% | -1.0% | +254.5% |
| Jul 2016 | Jul 2016 | 1 | 0.5% | -2.7% | +222.4% |
| Sep 2016 | Jan 2017 | 19 | 19.4% | +27.4% | +220.8% |
| Feb 2017 | Feb 2017 | 1 | 3.8% | +111.6% | +201.7% |
| Feb 2017 | Jul 2017 | 22 | 27.3% | +96.0% | +189.7% |
| Aug 2017 | Aug 2017 | 2 | 2.1% | +38.7% | +179.9% |
| Sep 2018 | Jan 2019 | 16 | 24.4% | +70.6% | +171.5% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 1 | 1.1% | -31.1% | -63.3% |
| May 2023 | Oct 2025 | 128 | 69.1% | -51.4% | -63.2% |
| Nov 2025 | Ongoing | 31+ | 49.7% | Ongoing | -49.8% |
| Average | 25 | — | +10.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DQ below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Daqo New Energy Corp. (DQ) is trading 49.7% below its 200-week moving average of $28.18. The current price is $14.18.
What is DQ's 200-week moving average price?
Daqo New Energy Corp.'s 200-week moving average is $28.18 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when DQ drops below its 200-week moving average?
DQ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +10.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.
Is DQ a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about DQ as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 19 (oversold). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is -4.2%. Price-to-book is 0.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does DQ compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 14.8 years, $100 invested in DQ would have grown to $405, compared to $859 for the S&P 500. That's 9.9% annualized vs 15.6% for the index. DQ has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19