DPZ
Domino's Pizza Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Restaurants Investor Relations →
Domino's Pizza Inc. (DPZ) closed at $337.77 as of 2026-05-01, trading 14.8% below its 200-week moving average of $396.59. This places DPZ in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -7.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 32, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.85 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1089 weeks of data, DPZ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DPZ at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.5%.
With a market cap of $11.2 billion, DPZ is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.7%. The stock trades at -2.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 20.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DPZ would have grown to $3404, compared to $888 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 18.4% vs 11.0% for the index — confirming DPZ as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 20.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: DPZ vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DPZ Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying DPZ when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +9.0% after 12 months (median +19.0%), compared to +11.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.1% vs +27.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DPZ crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
DPZ has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +13.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2007 | May 2007 | 1 | 11.9% | +11.9% | +3546.6% |
| Nov 2007 | Feb 2010 | 120 | 78.5% | -63.4% | +2991.4% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 4 | 6.8% | +110.3% | +3507.9% |
| Apr 2022 | May 2022 | 4 | 3.5% | -4.8% | +5.8% |
| Sep 2022 | Nov 2022 | 8 | 13.7% | +14.9% | +4.0% |
| Dec 2022 | Jul 2023 | 31 | 19.7% | +10.4% | -2.0% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 8 | 10.4% | +26.1% | +2.6% |
| Jan 2025 | Jan 2025 | 1 | 0.0% | +2.3% | -14.3% |
| Feb 2026 | Feb 2026 | 3 | 5.4% | N/A | -14.0% |
| Mar 2026 | Ongoing | 7+ | 14.8% | Ongoing | -9.5% |
| Average | 19 | — | +13.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DPZ below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-01, Domino's Pizza Inc. (DPZ) is trading 14.8% below its 200-week moving average of $396.59. The current price is $337.77.
What is DPZ's 200-week moving average price?
Domino's Pizza Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $396.59 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when DPZ drops below its 200-week moving average?
DPZ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +13.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 19 weeks on average.
Is DPZ a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about DPZ as of 2026-05-01: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 32. Free cash flow yield is 4.7%. Price-to-book is -2.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does DPZ compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 20.9 years, $100 invested in DPZ would have grown to $3404, compared to $888 for the S&P 500. That's 18.4% annualized vs 11.0% for the index. DPZ has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does DPZ pay a dividend?
Yes. Domino's Pizza Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 236.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01