DPZ
Domino's Pizza Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Restaurants Investor Relations →
Domino's Pizza Inc. (DPZ) closed at $394.88 as of 2026-02-02, trading 0.5% below its 200-week moving average of $396.98. This places DPZ in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 3.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1077 weeks of data, DPZ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DPZ at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.5%.
With a market cap of $13.4 billion, DPZ is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.6%. The stock trades at -3.5x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 20.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DPZ would have grown to $3959, compared to $851 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 19.4% vs 10.9% for the index — confirming DPZ as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: DPZ vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DPZ Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying DPZ when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +9.0% after 12 months (median +19.0%), compared to +11.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.1% vs +27.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DPZ crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
DPZ has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +13.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2007 | May 2007 | 1 | 11.9% | +11.9% | +4141.8% |
| Nov 2007 | Feb 2010 | 120 | 78.5% | -63.4% | +3495.9% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 4 | 6.8% | +110.3% | +4096.7% |
| Apr 2022 | May 2022 | 4 | 3.5% | -4.8% | +23.1% |
| Sep 2022 | Nov 2022 | 8 | 13.7% | +14.9% | +21.0% |
| Dec 2022 | Jul 2023 | 31 | 19.7% | +10.4% | +14.0% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 8 | 10.4% | +26.1% | +19.4% |
| Jan 2025 | Jan 2025 | 1 | 0.0% | +2.3% | -0.3% |
| Feb 2026 | Ongoing | 1+ | 0.5% | Ongoing | N/A |
| Average | 20 | — | +13.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02