DORM
Dorman Products, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Auto Parts Investor Relations →
Dorman Products, Inc. (DORM) closed at $130.10 as of 2026-02-02, trading 24.7% above its 200-week moving average of $104.31. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 19.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 43, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1773 weeks of data, DORM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DORM at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.8%.
With a market cap of $4.0 billion, DORM is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.3%. Return on equity stands at 18.2%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.7x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 3.3% reduction over three years. DORM passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DORM would have grown to $8532, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.3% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming DORM as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 33.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: DORM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DORM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 28 historical episodes, buying DORM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +16.6% after 12 months (median +19.0%), compared to +20.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 68% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +30.8% vs +43.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DORM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
DORM has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +13.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1992 | Mar 1993 | 43 | 41.8% | +9.1% | +7811.6% |
| May 1993 | May 1993 | 1 | 0.4% | -3.6% | +7670.3% |
| Mar 1994 | Apr 1994 | 2 | 9.4% | -10.7% | +7670.3% |
| Apr 1994 | Jun 1995 | 59 | 26.5% | -14.3% | +7670.3% |
| Oct 1995 | Aug 1996 | 40 | 19.8% | +14.3% | +7670.3% |
| Sep 1996 | Sep 1996 | 1 | 1.4% | +16.9% | +7275.2% |
| Sep 1996 | Oct 1996 | 1 | 3.4% | +19.0% | +7402.3% |
| Dec 1996 | Dec 1996 | 3 | 6.9% | +28.0% | +7275.2% |
| Mar 1997 | Mar 1997 | 2 | 3.0% | +40.0% | +7152.3% |
| Apr 1997 | Apr 1997 | 2 | 4.5% | +83.1% | +7275.2% |
| May 1997 | Jun 1997 | 1 | 1.1% | +75.0% | +7152.3% |
| Sep 1998 | Oct 1998 | 6 | 23.4% | -29.2% | +6594.4% |
| Dec 1998 | Mar 1999 | 13 | 10.3% | -42.3% | +6594.4% |
| Apr 1999 | Jun 1999 | 12 | 18.1% | -55.2% | +7402.3% |
| Aug 1999 | Dec 2001 | 123 | 76.7% | -67.9% | +6394.6% |
| Jan 2008 | Jul 2008 | 26 | 34.8% | -20.3% | +2347.9% |
| Sep 2008 | Dec 2008 | 11 | 27.0% | +25.1% | +2232.4% |
| Jan 2009 | Mar 2009 | 11 | 41.1% | +48.4% | +2470.5% |
| Apr 2009 | Apr 2009 | 1 | 3.9% | +91.6% | +2381.4% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 5 | 6.4% | +67.9% | +211.1% |
| Jul 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | 1.2% | +18.2% | +88.1% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | 0.0% | +15.5% | +85.0% |
| Nov 2019 | Nov 2019 | 1 | 0.8% | +31.6% | +81.2% |
| Jan 2020 | Jul 2020 | 26 | 36.5% | +30.1% | +86.4% |
| Aug 2022 | Nov 2022 | 11 | 11.0% | -3.5% | +48.9% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 5 | 9.5% | -13.5% | +50.4% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | 54 | 25.3% | +8.8% | +55.9% |
| Apr 2024 | Jul 2024 | 13 | 3.7% | +24.2% | +44.5% |
| Average | 17 | — | +13.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02