DLX

Deluxe Corporation Industrials - Conglomerates Investor Relations →

NO
27.7% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 29.7% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Signal Threshold $18.26
14-Week RSI 49
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.6x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.91

Deluxe Corporation (DLX) closed at $23.31 as of 2026-09-18, trading 27.7% above its 200-week moving average of $18.26. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 29.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.91 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 2378 weeks of data, DLX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -0.8%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

With a market cap of $1069 million, DLX is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 16.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 15.0%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.5x book value.

Share count has increased 4.2% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.

Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DLX would have grown to $370, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. DLX has returned 4.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 26.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: DLX vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After DLX Crosses Below the Line?

Across 25 historical episodes, buying DLX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -8.4% after 12 months (median -14.0%), compared to +7.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 36% of those episodes were profitable after one year.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DLX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices DLX would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +0.08σ
Current FCF Yield 19.56%
Baseline Yield 18.99%
Historical σ 1.44pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where DLX's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-04.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$20.41Unusually cheap — analysis point
Value+1σ$21.82Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$23.44Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$25.32Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$27.53Unusually expensive — analysis point

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Recent Earnings

DateEPS Est.EPS ActualSurprise
2026-08-05$0.81$0.87+7.0%
2026-05-06$0.91$1.05+15.0%
2026-01-28$0.83$0.96+15.2%
2025-11-05$0.90$1.09+21.4%
Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 24 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

13 / 13 weeks minimum

the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from DLX's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation -0.04σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -0.26σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +0.2pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity 8th TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +2.4pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Stable Accrual gap trend (-2.2pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Historical Touches

DLX has crossed below its 200-week MA 32 times with an average 1-year return of +-0.8% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Sep 1981Sep 198110.6%+24.5%+3132.1%
Jan 1982Jun 19822123.1%+51.8%+3082.4%
Nov 1987Dec 1987111.3%+25.8%+823.4%
Apr 1988Sep 19882213.3%+22.9%+695.0%
Nov 1988Jan 1989106.5%+40.9%+630.1%
Feb 1989Feb 198910.1%+18.5%+595.8%
Aug 1990Aug 199011.2%+74.2%+526.4%
Aug 1993Aug 199322.0%-18.3%+330.5%
Sep 1993Jan 1994177.8%-11.8%+329.1%
Jan 1994Sep 19958528.8%-18.9%+347.8%
Oct 1995Feb 19961918.0%+26.0%+339.0%
Mar 1996Apr 199651.4%+8.6%+347.0%
Aug 1998Sep 199813.3%+31.0%+331.8%
Sep 1998Oct 1998211.5%+24.1%+340.5%
Mar 1999Apr 199937.2%-8.9%+306.0%
Oct 1999Jan 20016428.8%-27.1%+303.8%
Dec 2004Jan 200544.9%-15.7%+51.6%
Aug 2005Aug 200540.8%-54.6%+43.0%
Oct 2005Feb 20077160.9%-50.6%+41.9%
Feb 2007Mar 200725.7%-28.5%+69.1%
Dec 2007Dec 200712.9%-59.8%+63.1%
Dec 2007Mar 201011572.8%-44.2%+74.9%
Jun 2010Jul 201034.0%+41.6%+128.2%
Aug 2010Sep 2010710.3%+19.3%+136.6%
Jul 2018May 202114564.3%-22.8%-41.4%
Jun 2021Jun 202114.1%-47.3%-26.5%
Jul 2021Jul 202120.9%-49.6%-28.7%
Aug 2021Jul 202415451.6%-41.0%-25.0%
Jul 2024Nov 20241418.5%-19.6%+28.5%
Dec 2024Dec 202410.4%+7.7%+16.0%
Jan 2025Jan 202514.3%+18.2%+21.6%
Feb 2025Aug 20252630.4%+57.3%+36.7%
Average25+-0.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is DLX below its 200-week moving average?

No. Deluxe Corporation (DLX) is currently 27.7% above its 200-week moving average of $18.26. It would need to fall to $18.26 to cross below the line.

What is DLX's 200-week moving average price?

Deluxe Corporation's 200-week moving average is $18.26 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when DLX drops below its 200-week moving average?

DLX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -0.8%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.

Is DLX a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about DLX as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 49. Free cash flow yield is 16.1%. Return on equity is 15.0%. Price-to-book is 1.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does DLX compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in DLX would have grown to $370, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 4.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. DLX has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does DLX pay a dividend?

Yes. Deluxe Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 515.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-09-18