DLO
DLocal Limited Financial Services - Payments Investor Relations →
DLocal Limited (DLO) closed at $15.08 as of 2026-07-31, trading 18.1% above its 200-week moving average of $12.76. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 13.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 58, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.10 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 221 weeks of data, DLO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 2 times. On average, these episodes lasted 107 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -33.0%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $4.4 billion, DLO is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 35.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 8.0x book value.
DLO passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 4.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DLO would have grown to $54, compared to $192 for the S&P 500. DLO has returned -13.4% annualized vs 16.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 38.6% compound annual rate, with 1 consecutive year of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: DLO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DLO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 2 historical episodes, buying DLO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -65.0% after 12 months (median -65.0%), compared to +3.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -69.0% vs +32.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DLO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices DLO would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where DLO's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-13.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $10.26 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $11.09 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $12.08 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $13.25 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $14.68 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from DLO's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
DLO has crossed below its 200-week MA 2 times with an average 1-year return of +-33.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2022 | Apr 2026 | 207 | 70.4% | -33.0% | -22.6% |
| May 2026 | Jun 2026 | 7 | 19.1% | N/A | +39.3% |
| Average | 107 | — | +-33.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DLO below its 200-week moving average?
No. DLocal Limited (DLO) is currently 18.1% above its 200-week moving average of $12.76. It would need to fall to $12.76 to cross below the line.
What is DLO's 200-week moving average price?
DLocal Limited's 200-week moving average is $12.76 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when DLO drops below its 200-week moving average?
DLO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 2 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -33.0%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 107 weeks on average.
Is DLO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about DLO as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 58. Free cash flow yield is 8.9%. Return on equity is 35.0%. Price-to-book is 8.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does DLO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 4.2 years, $100 invested in DLO would have grown to $54, compared to $192 for the S&P 500. That's -13.4% annualized vs 16.5% for the index. DLO has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does DLO pay a dividend?
Yes. DLocal Limited currently pays a dividend yield of 130.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31