DKS
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Specialty Retail Investor Relations →
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS) closed at $121.15 as of 2026-09-18, trading 30.7% below its 200-week moving average of $174.81. This places DKS in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -22.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 21, DKS is in oversold territory.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.61 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 1200 weeks of data, DKS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DKS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +17.0%.
With a market cap of $10.8 billion, DKS is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 18.5%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
Share count has increased 8.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 23.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DKS would have grown to $1792, compared to $1159 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.3% vs 11.2% for the index — confirming DKS as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 5 open-market purchases totaling $3,843,905. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while DKS is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -10.5% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: DKS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DKS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying DKS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +24.1% after 12 months (median +22.0%), compared to +8.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 64% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +51.5% vs +22.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DKS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices DKS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where DKS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-24.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $128.88 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $148.61 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $175.48 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $214.20 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $274.86 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | $3.76 | $3.53 | -6.2% |
| 2026-05-27 | $2.91 | $2.90 | -0.2% |
| 2026-03-12 | $2.95 | $3.45 | +17.0% |
| 2025-11-25 | $2.71 | $2.78 | +2.7% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from DKS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
DKS has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +17.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2008 | Oct 2009 | 69 | 55.6% | -23.2% | +665.8% |
| Nov 2009 | Dec 2009 | 3 | 6.8% | +58.0% | +696.7% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 2 | 2.4% | +60.0% | +668.5% |
| May 2014 | May 2014 | 1 | 1.6% | +27.1% | +285.3% |
| Jul 2014 | Aug 2014 | 5 | 5.5% | +17.8% | +274.8% |
| Sep 2014 | Oct 2014 | 5 | 4.3% | +11.7% | +270.8% |
| Oct 2015 | Jul 2016 | 38 | 29.6% | +19.7% | +241.8% |
| Mar 2017 | Apr 2017 | 3 | 3.7% | -26.1% | +231.5% |
| May 2017 | Apr 2019 | 99 | 46.9% | -32.0% | +233.5% |
| Apr 2019 | Sep 2019 | 21 | 15.5% | -29.1% | +292.7% |
| Feb 2020 | Jun 2020 | 14 | 54.9% | +103.6% | +310.4% |
| Aug 2026 | Ongoing | 4+ | 30.7% | Ongoing | -9.5% |
| Average | 22 | — | +17.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DKS below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS) is trading 30.7% below its 200-week moving average of $174.81. The current price is $121.15.
What is DKS's 200-week moving average price?
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $174.81 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when DKS drops below its 200-week moving average?
DKS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +17.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.
Is DKS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about DKS as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 21 (oversold). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 18.5%. Price-to-book is 1.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does DKS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 23.1 years, $100 invested in DKS would have grown to $1792, compared to $1159 for the S&P 500. That's 13.3% annualized vs 11.2% for the index. DKS has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does DKS pay a dividend?
Yes. DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 413.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18