DJT
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Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) closed at $11.45 as of 2026-02-02, trading 51.9% below its 200-week moving average of $23.82. This places DJT in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -46.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 40, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 179 weeks of data, DJT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 49 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -32.7%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $3.2 billion, DJT is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -9.3%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
Share count has increased 61.4% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 3.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DJT would have grown to $68, compared to $203 for the S&P 500. DJT has returned -10.4% annualized vs 22.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: DJT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DJT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying DJT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -32.0% after 12 months (median -42.0%), compared to +18.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -2.0% vs +66.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DJT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
DJT has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +-32.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2022 | Jan 2024 | 72 | 67.2% | -29.9% | -52.3% |
| Jun 2024 | Nov 2024 | 23 | 56.7% | -35.5% | -58.6% |
| Feb 2025 | Ongoing | 53+ | 62.1% | Ongoing | -63.3% |
| Average | 49 | — | +-32.7% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02