DIOD
Diodes Incorporated Technology - Semiconductors Investor Relations →
Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) closed at $119.46 as of 2026-06-19, trading 71.0% above its 200-week moving average of $69.84. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 56.2% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 82, DIOD is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.86 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2734 weeks of data, DIOD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 42 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DIOD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +36.7%.
With a market cap of $5.5 billion, DIOD is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.6%. Return on equity stands at 4.6%. The stock trades at 2.9x book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DIOD would have grown to $40318, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 19.6% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming DIOD as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -8.8% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: DIOD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DIOD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 30 historical episodes, buying DIOD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +51.6% after 12 months (median +20.0%), compared to +16.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 59% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +43.8% vs +34.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DIOD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices DIOD would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where DIOD's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-06.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $76.85 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $85.20 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $95.58 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $108.84 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $126.37 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from DIOD's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
DIOD has crossed below its 200-week MA 42 times with an average 1-year return of +36.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1974 | Jun 1975 | 72 | 71.3% | -33.3% | +40217.8% |
| Aug 1975 | Feb 1976 | 25 | 46.7% | N/A | +60376.6% |
| Apr 1976 | Jan 1977 | 39 | 34.2% | -11.1% | +53657.1% |
| Feb 1977 | Mar 1977 | 6 | 10.3% | -25.0% | +60376.6% |
| Apr 1977 | Mar 1978 | 48 | 25.1% | +50.0% | +60376.6% |
| Oct 1979 | Dec 1979 | 9 | 5.7% | +55.6% | +53657.1% |
| Jul 1980 | Aug 1980 | 4 | 0.6% | +90.0% | +48281.2% |
| Sep 1981 | Oct 1981 | 3 | 5.8% | +25.0% | +40217.8% |
| Nov 1981 | Nov 1981 | 4 | 7.4% | +33.3% | +40217.8% |
| Dec 1981 | Sep 1982 | 39 | 37.5% | +69.2% | +37116.3% |
| May 1985 | Feb 1986 | 37 | 28.7% | +55.2% | +16583.2% |
| Jun 1986 | Feb 1992 | 296 | 64.3% | -43.2% | +12976.0% |
| Mar 1992 | Jun 1992 | 12 | 12.3% | +29.2% | +40217.8% |
| Aug 1992 | Nov 1992 | 14 | 18.6% | +116.7% | +40217.8% |
| Dec 1992 | Jan 1993 | 1 | 8.1% | +290.9% | +43883.0% |
| Jul 1996 | Sep 1996 | 8 | 18.0% | +82.0% | +9576.3% |
| Sep 1996 | Dec 1996 | 9 | 18.5% | +142.4% | +9674.0% |
| Jan 1997 | Feb 1997 | 2 | 1.7% | +17.2% | +8241.6% |
| Mar 1997 | Mar 1997 | 1 | 1.6% | +34.2% | +7963.6% |
| Dec 1997 | Feb 1998 | 8 | 13.8% | -31.5% | +7703.4% |
| Apr 1998 | Jun 1999 | 61 | 56.5% | -43.2% | +6861.3% |
| Jul 1999 | Oct 1999 | 13 | 26.1% | +276.7% | +7067.6% |
| Mar 2001 | May 2001 | 10 | 30.8% | -10.4% | +4379.7% |
| Jun 2001 | Jan 2003 | 83 | 53.6% | -4.2% | +4193.7% |
| Feb 2003 | Mar 2003 | 7 | 13.4% | +251.9% | +4104.1% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 1.5% | -49.7% | +490.8% |
| Sep 2008 | Mar 2010 | 80 | 84.8% | -2.0% | +450.0% |
| Apr 2010 | Oct 2010 | 26 | 26.9% | +59.4% | +456.4% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 12 | 14.0% | -2.5% | +506.7% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 8.0% | -22.5% | +548.5% |
| Dec 2011 | Dec 2011 | 1 | 1.2% | -17.9% | +505.2% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 3 | 4.6% | +29.5% | +535.4% |
| Jun 2012 | Mar 2013 | 38 | 34.0% | +33.7% | +536.8% |
| Mar 2013 | May 2013 | 6 | 12.3% | +20.1% | +469.4% |
| Nov 2013 | Dec 2013 | 5 | 9.6% | +31.4% | +495.8% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 2 | 13.7% | +10.6% | +497.3% |
| Jul 2015 | Nov 2015 | 21 | 17.9% | -22.5% | +421.9% |
| Dec 2015 | Nov 2016 | 48 | 24.2% | +13.2% | +422.1% |
| Apr 2017 | May 2017 | 4 | 3.1% | +33.7% | +418.7% |
| Oct 2023 | Dec 2023 | 8 | 16.6% | -14.5% | +59.6% |
| Jan 2024 | Feb 2026 | 110 | 55.5% | -13.6% | +62.4% |
| Feb 2026 | Mar 2026 | 4 | 9.4% | N/A | +75.1% |
| Average | 28 | — | +36.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DIOD below its 200-week moving average?
No. Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) is currently 71.0% above its 200-week moving average of $69.84. It would need to fall to $69.84 to cross below the line.
What is DIOD's 200-week moving average price?
Diodes Incorporated's 200-week moving average is $69.84 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when DIOD drops below its 200-week moving average?
DIOD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 42 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +36.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 28 weeks on average.
Is DIOD a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about DIOD as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 82 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 2.6%. Return on equity is 4.6%. Price-to-book is 2.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does DIOD compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in DIOD would have grown to $40318, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 19.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. DIOD has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19