DINO
HF Sinclair Corporation Energy - Refining Investor Relations →
HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) closed at $58.59 as of 2026-02-02, trading 30.7% above its 200-week moving average of $44.84. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 16.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 62, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, DINO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 32 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DINO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.1%.
With a market cap of $11.0 billion, DINO is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.2%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 4.2%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
Share count has increased 15.6% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DINO would have grown to $9933, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.9% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming DINO as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: DINO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DINO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying DINO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +7.6% after 12 months (median +7.0%), compared to +15.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 61% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -0.9% vs +39.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DINO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
DINO has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +12.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Apr 1983 | 112 | 45.3% | -32.6% | +128330.0% |
| Sep 1983 | Oct 1983 | 1 | 5.2% | +3.8% | +156321.0% |
| Oct 1983 | Nov 1983 | 5 | 14.8% | +2.8% | +169356.4% |
| Jul 1984 | Aug 1984 | 2 | 9.4% | +57.1% | +158352.3% |
| Sep 1984 | Mar 1985 | 26 | 25.2% | +59.0% | +156321.0% |
| Apr 1992 | May 1992 | 3 | 4.8% | +29.3% | +11451.3% |
| Jul 1992 | Nov 1992 | 16 | 10.1% | +11.0% | +10708.3% |
| Mar 1993 | Mar 1993 | 1 | 0.0% | +12.7% | +9927.9% |
| Dec 1993 | Dec 1993 | 1 | 0.5% | -5.2% | +9820.9% |
| Aug 1994 | Apr 1995 | 36 | 13.1% | -10.3% | +9997.8% |
| May 1995 | Apr 1996 | 47 | 15.2% | +6.1% | +9638.7% |
| Jun 1996 | Jul 1996 | 2 | 1.1% | +2.5% | +9858.0% |
| Oct 1996 | Nov 1996 | 4 | 5.4% | +13.2% | +9715.5% |
| Mar 1997 | Apr 1997 | 6 | 7.5% | +12.4% | +9769.0% |
| May 1997 | Jun 1997 | 3 | 1.9% | +15.7% | +9872.6% |
| Jul 1998 | Dec 2000 | 125 | 48.5% | -35.2% | +9798.0% |
| Jan 2001 | Jan 2001 | 2 | 1.6% | +148.8% | +12736.5% |
| Jun 2008 | Nov 2010 | 126 | 66.0% | -50.9% | +537.1% |
| Jan 2015 | Jan 2015 | 2 | 13.7% | +13.5% | +175.9% |
| Jan 2016 | Sep 2017 | 89 | 42.4% | -10.8% | +120.1% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 3 | 6.0% | -14.4% | +92.2% |
| Feb 2020 | May 2022 | 114 | 57.3% | +17.1% | +112.1% |
| Oct 2024 | Jun 2025 | 36 | 35.5% | +33.6% | +44.8% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 1 | 1.3% | N/A | +41.1% |
| Average | 32 | — | +12.1% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02