DIN
Dine Brands Global, Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Restaurants Investor Relations →
Dine Brands Global, Inc. (DIN) closed at $34.16 as of 2026-06-19, trading 10.0% below its 200-week moving average of $37.96. This places DIN in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -10.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 65, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.47 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1775 weeks of data, DIN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 38 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DIN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.7%.
With a market cap of $433 million, DIN is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 11.2%, which is notably high. The stock trades at -1.5x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 14.6% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DIN would have grown to $666, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. DIN has returned 5.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: DIN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DIN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 38 historical episodes, buying DIN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +13.9% after 12 months (median +4.0%), compared to +11.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +16.0% vs +27.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DIN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices DIN would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where DIN's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-05.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $19.55 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $22.19 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $25.64 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $30.37 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $37.23 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from DIN's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
DIN has crossed below its 200-week MA 38 times with an average 1-year return of +10.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1992 | Jul 1992 | 3 | 5.0% | +89.3% | +911.7% |
| Sep 1992 | Oct 1992 | 4 | 3.1% | +53.1% | +902.8% |
| Oct 1995 | Nov 1995 | 7 | 7.6% | -4.4% | +529.5% |
| Jan 1996 | Feb 1996 | 5 | 9.5% | +8.9% | +529.5% |
| Mar 1996 | Mar 1996 | 2 | 1.3% | +1.6% | +490.2% |
| Jul 1996 | Feb 1997 | 30 | 18.3% | +21.6% | +463.7% |
| Feb 1997 | Apr 1997 | 9 | 7.6% | +38.6% | +447.4% |
| Nov 1999 | Jan 2000 | 7 | 10.0% | +23.6% | +318.1% |
| Jan 2000 | Aug 2000 | 30 | 20.4% | +25.5% | +313.5% |
| Oct 2000 | Oct 2000 | 1 | 0.5% | +41.7% | +293.4% |
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 2.9% | +60.0% | +221.9% |
| Nov 2002 | Nov 2002 | 2 | 3.1% | +76.7% | +218.4% |
| Jan 2003 | Apr 2003 | 11 | 7.1% | +71.4% | +227.3% |
| Dec 2007 | Jan 2008 | 6 | 21.0% | -66.1% | +49.9% |
| Feb 2008 | Mar 2008 | 6 | 15.2% | -75.7% | +46.6% |
| Mar 2008 | Apr 2008 | 1 | 1.1% | -67.3% | +37.0% |
| May 2008 | Mar 2010 | 94 | 86.4% | -37.7% | +33.7% |
| May 2010 | Jul 2010 | 11 | 25.8% | +61.0% | +75.7% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 4 | 13.1% | +23.8% | +79.3% |
| Aug 2016 | Aug 2016 | 4 | 2.7% | -46.7% | -31.6% |
| Sep 2016 | Sep 2016 | 1 | 1.8% | -43.7% | -32.7% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 1.3% | -34.1% | -33.7% |
| Dec 2016 | Feb 2018 | 60 | 49.0% | -28.4% | -34.1% |
| Mar 2018 | Apr 2018 | 3 | 4.3% | +36.7% | -28.9% |
| May 2018 | Jun 2018 | 4 | 8.4% | +34.9% | -31.6% |
| Mar 2020 | Aug 2020 | 24 | 73.9% | +108.1% | +2.5% |
| Sep 2020 | Nov 2020 | 11 | 15.5% | +33.0% | -29.5% |
| Dec 2020 | Jan 2021 | 1 | 5.2% | +31.4% | -28.0% |
| Jan 2022 | Jan 2022 | 2 | 12.5% | +25.7% | -33.8% |
| Feb 2022 | Mar 2022 | 2 | 2.7% | +10.0% | -40.7% |
| Apr 2022 | Apr 2022 | 1 | 1.1% | -1.3% | -42.0% |
| Apr 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 0.4% | -6.7% | -42.4% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 6.7% | +4.0% | -38.6% |
| Jun 2022 | Aug 2022 | 9 | 7.0% | -11.2% | -42.4% |
| Aug 2022 | Sep 2022 | 2 | 4.5% | -19.3% | -41.4% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 5 | 11.7% | -14.9% | -34.8% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 5 | 7.6% | -26.5% | -41.2% |
| Mar 2023 | Ongoing | 172+ | 61.9% | Ongoing | -40.5% |
| Average | 14 | — | +10.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DIN below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Dine Brands Global, Inc. (DIN) is trading 10.0% below its 200-week moving average of $37.96. The current price is $34.16.
What is DIN's 200-week moving average price?
Dine Brands Global, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $37.96 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when DIN drops below its 200-week moving average?
DIN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 38 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +10.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 14 weeks on average.
Is DIN a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about DIN as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 65. Free cash flow yield is 11.2%. Price-to-book is -1.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does DIN compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in DIN would have grown to $666, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 5.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. DIN has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does DIN pay a dividend?
Yes. Dine Brands Global, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 329.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19