DHT
DHT Holdings, Inc. Energy - Oil & Gas Midstream Investor Relations →
DHT Holdings, Inc. (DHT) closed at $23.27 as of 2026-09-18, trading 129.4% above its 200-week moving average of $10.14. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 118.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 81, DHT is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.93 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1044 weeks of data, DHT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times. On average, these episodes lasted 66 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -1.4%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $3.8 billion, DHT is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 39.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.8x book value.
Over the past 20.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DHT would have grown to $69, compared to $822 for the S&P 500. DHT has returned -1.8% annualized vs 11.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: DHT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DHT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying DHT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -2.9% after 12 months (median -12.0%), compared to +0.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 25% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -7.0% vs +24.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DHT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices DHT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where DHT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-28.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $14.41 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $16.17 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $18.43 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $21.41 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $25.54 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | $1.14 | $1.22 | +6.9% |
| 2026-05-05 | $0.62 | $0.64 | +3.5% |
| 2026-02-04 | $0.40 | $0.41 | +1.5% |
| 2025-10-29 | $0.17 | $0.28 | +64.5% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from DHT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
DHT has crossed below its 200-week MA 8 times with an average 1-year return of +-1.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2007 | Nov 2007 | 1 | 4.6% | -59.8% | -30.7% |
| Dec 2007 | May 2015 | 384 | 88.1% | -39.4% | -24.7% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 5 | 8.8% | -17.2% | +898.7% |
| Mar 2016 | Apr 2016 | 2 | 2.8% | -12.3% | +829.4% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 2 | 1.6% | -9.2% | +844.9% |
| Jun 2016 | Oct 2018 | 120 | 31.9% | -16.2% | +899.1% |
| Nov 2018 | Mar 2019 | 17 | 15.4% | +75.5% | +889.7% |
| Mar 2019 | Apr 2019 | 1 | 0.7% | +67.5% | +899.4% |
| Average | 66 | — | +-1.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DHT below its 200-week moving average?
No. DHT Holdings, Inc. (DHT) is currently 129.4% above its 200-week moving average of $10.14. It would need to fall to $10.14 to cross below the line.
What is DHT's 200-week moving average price?
DHT Holdings, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $10.14 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when DHT drops below its 200-week moving average?
DHT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -1.4%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 66 weeks on average.
Is DHT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about DHT as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 81 (overbought). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 39.2%. Price-to-book is 2.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does DHT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 20.1 years, $100 invested in DHT would have grown to $69, compared to $822 for the S&P 500. That's -1.8% annualized vs 11.1% for the index. DHT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does DHT pay a dividend?
Yes. DHT Holdings, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 2138.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18