DHI
D.R. Horton Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Homebuilders Investor Relations →
D.R. Horton Inc. (DHI) closed at $156.27 as of 2026-02-02, trading 25.7% above its 200-week moving average of $124.31. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 19.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1709 weeks of data, DHI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DHI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +47.4%.
With a market cap of $45.5 billion, DHI is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 13.5%. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 14.4% over the past three years.
Over the past 32.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DHI would have grown to $13013, compared to $2755 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.0% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming DHI as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 99.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: DHI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DHI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying DHI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +50.5% after 12 months (median +49.0%), compared to +18.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 85% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +69.0% vs +31.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DHI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
DHI has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +47.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1994 | Aug 1994 | 2 | 3.7% | +47.4% | +12194.5% |
| Nov 1994 | May 1995 | 24 | 21.0% | +50.9% | +11984.9% |
| Sep 1999 | Jul 2000 | 45 | 25.4% | +47.2% | +5567.7% |
| Jul 2006 | Nov 2006 | 18 | 14.6% | -1.2% | +860.8% |
| Feb 2007 | Jan 2011 | 201 | 80.4% | -42.4% | +689.9% |
| Jan 2011 | Feb 2011 | 1 | 1.8% | +26.7% | +1468.6% |
| Feb 2011 | Mar 2011 | 1 | 2.3% | +23.2% | +1500.5% |
| Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 2 | 3.9% | +50.2% | +1599.1% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 12 | 18.9% | +68.6% | +1654.6% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 0.7% | +81.7% | +1576.8% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 0.9% | +61.9% | +402.7% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 6 | 21.1% | +107.7% | +322.9% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 4.8% | +94.3% | +168.0% |
| Average | 24 | — | +47.4% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02