DELL
Dell Technologies Inc. Technology - Computer Hardware Investor Relations โ
Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) closed at $121.05 as of 2026-02-02, trading 42.2% above its 200-week moving average of $85.13. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 35.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 28, DELL is in oversold territory.
Over the past 446 weeks of data, DELL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 7 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DELL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +143.0%.
With a market cap of $81.1 billion, DELL is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.7%. The stock trades at -30.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 8.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DELL would have grown to $734, compared to $320 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 25.9% vs 14.4% for the index โ confirming DELL as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -37.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny โ the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: DELL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DELL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying DELL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +133.0% after 12 months (median +108.0%), compared to +27.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +170.0% vs +52.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DELL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
DELL has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +143.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2020 | May 2020 | 13 | 27.6% | +100.4% | +546.7% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 5 | 7.3% | +103.9% | +267.9% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 3 | 2.5% | +224.8% | +249.7% |
| Average | 7 | โ | +143.0% | โ |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02