DEI
Douglas Emmett, Inc. Real Estate - Office Investor Relations →
Douglas Emmett, Inc. (DEI) closed at $10.73 as of 2026-09-11, trading 14.3% below its 200-week moving average of $12.52. This places DEI in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -8.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 36, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.13 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 989 weeks of data, DEI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 27 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -23.0%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $2.2 billion, DEI is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 18.4%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -1.9%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.
Over the past 19 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DEI would have grown to $82, compared to $698 for the S&P 500. DEI has returned -1.1% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -29.2% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: DEI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DEI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying DEI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -22.4% after 12 months (median -36.0%), compared to -0.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 29% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -19.8% vs +13.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DEI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices DEI would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where DEI's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-03.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $10.22 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $11.83 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $14.05 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $17.29 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $22.47 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | $-0.04 | $-0.02 | +44.1% |
| 2026-05-05 | $-0.05 | $-0.02 | +61.9% |
| 2026-02-10 | $-0.05 | $-0.04 | +26.9% |
| 2025-11-04 | $-0.06 | $-0.07 | -10.3% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from DEI's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
DEI has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +-23.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2007 | Oct 2007 | 1 | 2.1% | -38.9% | -14.7% |
| Nov 2007 | May 2008 | 25 | 15.2% | -50.7% | -15.4% |
| May 2008 | Sep 2008 | 16 | 9.6% | -62.8% | -13.1% |
| Sep 2008 | Sep 2010 | 104 | 69.5% | -45.4% | -12.8% |
| Nov 2010 | Nov 2010 | 1 | 1.9% | +12.5% | +15.6% |
| Dec 2010 | Dec 2010 | 2 | 4.1% | +15.0% | +17.1% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 0.1% | +59.7% | -34.4% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 1 | 0.1% | +34.9% | -54.5% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2021 | 62 | 33.1% | -0.5% | -57.6% |
| Jun 2021 | Jul 2021 | 1 | 0.6% | -29.5% | -58.5% |
| Jul 2021 | Oct 2021 | 12 | 5.9% | -30.4% | -58.3% |
| Oct 2021 | Nov 2021 | 1 | 2.1% | -44.1% | -57.6% |
| Nov 2021 | Dec 2021 | 4 | 2.1% | -46.1% | -57.6% |
| Jan 2022 | Mar 2022 | 9 | 5.9% | -49.4% | -56.8% |
| Apr 2022 | Nov 2024 | 137 | 59.8% | -56.8% | -56.7% |
| Dec 2024 | Sep 2025 | 37 | 24.4% | -35.8% | -34.4% |
| Sep 2025 | Ongoing | 51+ | 32.7% | Ongoing | -26.3% |
| Average | 27 | — | +-23.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DEI below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-11, Douglas Emmett, Inc. (DEI) is trading 14.3% below its 200-week moving average of $12.52. The current price is $10.73.
What is DEI's 200-week moving average price?
Douglas Emmett, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $12.52 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when DEI drops below its 200-week moving average?
DEI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -23.0%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 27 weeks on average.
Is DEI a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about DEI as of 2026-09-11: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 36. Free cash flow yield is 18.4%. Return on equity is -1.9%. Price-to-book is 1.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does DEI compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 19 years, $100 invested in DEI would have grown to $82, compared to $698 for the S&P 500. That's -1.1% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. DEI has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does DEI pay a dividend?
Yes. Douglas Emmett, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 712.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11