DECK
Deckers Outdoor Corporation Consumer Discretionary - Footwear Investor Relations →
Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) closed at $100.43 as of 2026-03-20, trading 8.0% below its 200-week moving average of $109.16. This places DECK in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -7.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.89 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1644 weeks of data, DECK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 30 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DECK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +59.9%.
With a market cap of $14.6 billion, DECK is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.2%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 39.7%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 5.5x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.2% over the past three years. DECK passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 31.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DECK would have grown to $11125, compared to $2460 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.1% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming DECK as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 99.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: DECK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DECK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying DECK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +55.3% after 12 months (median +4.0%), compared to +9.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 63% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +165.1% vs +23.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DECK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
DECK has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +59.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1994 | Aug 2000 | 308 | 81.2% | -48.4% | +11198.4% |
| Sep 2000 | Dec 2000 | 15 | 11.3% | -12.0% | +36054.8% |
| Jan 2001 | Jul 2001 | 29 | 28.2% | -18.0% | +36512.4% |
| Aug 2001 | Aug 2001 | 2 | 4.4% | +13.6% | +42941.5% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 3 | 14.9% | +17.8% | +49427.1% |
| Oct 2001 | Dec 2001 | 8 | 10.7% | -17.6% | +44207.3% |
| Sep 2002 | Jan 2003 | 16 | 18.9% | +245.2% | +50679.2% |
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 1 | 0.7% | +527.5% | +45550.0% |
| Nov 2008 | Dec 2008 | 5 | 22.4% | +59.9% | +2878.2% |
| Jan 2009 | Sep 2009 | 35 | 44.2% | +79.6% | +2886.5% |
| Apr 2012 | Sep 2013 | 74 | 46.7% | +4.8% | +1062.6% |
| Oct 2013 | Oct 2013 | 2 | 4.2% | +41.7% | +885.9% |
| Jan 2015 | Feb 2015 | 1 | 7.6% | -25.1% | +812.3% |
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2015 | 1 | 0.4% | -18.4% | +752.4% |
| May 2015 | Jun 2015 | 1 | 2.8% | -22.0% | +784.2% |
| Aug 2015 | Aug 2016 | 51 | 33.8% | +6.1% | +834.8% |
| Aug 2016 | May 2017 | 39 | 31.7% | +3.8% | +853.4% |
| Jun 2017 | Nov 2017 | 21 | 7.8% | +73.0% | +777.4% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 0.0% | +226.0% | +480.0% |
| Oct 2025 | Jan 2026 | 16 | 21.4% | N/A | +5.6% |
| Mar 2026 | Ongoing | 3+ | 8.0% | Ongoing | -3.7% |
| Average | 30 | — | +59.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DECK below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) is trading 8.0% below its 200-week moving average of $109.16. The current price is $100.43.
What is DECK's 200-week moving average price?
Deckers Outdoor Corporation's 200-week moving average is $109.16 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when DECK drops below its 200-week moving average?
DECK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +59.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 30 weeks on average.
Is DECK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about DECK as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 49. Free cash flow yield is 5.2%. Return on equity is 39.7%. Price-to-book is 5.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does DECK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 31.6 years, $100 invested in DECK would have grown to $11125, compared to $2460 for the S&P 500. That's 16.1% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. DECK has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20