DECK
Deckers Outdoor Corporation Consumer Discretionary - Footwear Investor Relations →
Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) closed at $115.45 as of 2026-02-02, trading 7.7% above its 200-week moving average of $107.18. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 11.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 79, DECK is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1638 weeks of data, DECK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 31 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DECK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +59.9%.
With a market cap of $16.8 billion, DECK is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.5%. Return on equity stands at 39.7%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 6.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.2% over the past three years. DECK passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 31.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DECK would have grown to $12788, compared to $2612 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.6% vs 10.9% for the index — confirming DECK as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 99.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: DECK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DECK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying DECK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +55.3% after 12 months (median +4.0%), compared to +9.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 63% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +165.1% vs +23.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DECK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
DECK has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +59.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1994 | Aug 2000 | 308 | 81.2% | -48.4% | +12888.1% |
| Sep 2000 | Dec 2000 | 15 | 11.3% | -12.0% | +41462.0% |
| Jan 2001 | Jul 2001 | 29 | 28.2% | -18.0% | +41988.0% |
| Aug 2001 | Aug 2001 | 2 | 4.4% | +13.6% | +49378.6% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 3 | 14.9% | +17.8% | +56834.2% |
| Oct 2001 | Dec 2001 | 8 | 10.7% | -17.6% | +50833.7% |
| Sep 2002 | Jan 2003 | 16 | 18.9% | +245.2% | +58273.5% |
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 1 | 0.7% | +527.5% | +52377.3% |
| Nov 2008 | Dec 2008 | 5 | 22.4% | +59.9% | +3323.6% |
| Jan 2009 | Sep 2009 | 35 | 44.2% | +79.6% | +3333.2% |
| Apr 2012 | Sep 2013 | 74 | 46.7% | +4.8% | +1236.5% |
| Oct 2013 | Oct 2013 | 2 | 4.2% | +41.7% | +1033.3% |
| Jan 2015 | Feb 2015 | 1 | 7.6% | -25.1% | +948.8% |
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2015 | 1 | 0.4% | -18.4% | +879.9% |
| May 2015 | Jun 2015 | 1 | 2.8% | -22.0% | +916.4% |
| Aug 2015 | Aug 2016 | 51 | 33.8% | +6.1% | +974.6% |
| Aug 2016 | May 2017 | 39 | 31.7% | +3.8% | +996.0% |
| Jun 2017 | Nov 2017 | 21 | 7.8% | +73.0% | +908.6% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 0.0% | +226.0% | +566.7% |
| Oct 2025 | Jan 2026 | 16 | 21.4% | N/A | +21.4% |
| Average | 31 | — | +59.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02