DE
Deere & Company Industrials - Agricultural Machinery Investor Relations →
Deere & Company (DE) closed at $583.11 as of 2026-02-02, trading 43.8% above its 200-week moving average of $405.45. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 30.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 80, DE is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2753 weeks of data, DE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 45 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +36.8%.
With a market cap of $158.1 billion, DE is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.7%. Return on equity stands at 20.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 6.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DE would have grown to $14748, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.2% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming DE as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 52.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: DE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 22 historical episodes, buying DE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +44.0% after 12 months (median +23.0%), compared to +11.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 90% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +61.7% vs +16.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
DE has crossed below its 200-week MA 45 times with an average 1-year return of +36.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1973 | Jul 1973 | 9 | 5.0% | +0.1% | +71160.1% |
| Feb 1974 | Feb 1974 | 1 | 2.0% | -13.3% | +64489.7% |
| Mar 1974 | Oct 1974 | 31 | 29.3% | +5.1% | +67556.4% |
| Nov 1974 | Dec 1974 | 5 | 8.8% | +32.1% | +67557.0% |
| Jan 1975 | Mar 1975 | 8 | 11.8% | +43.3% | +66446.4% |
| Mar 1975 | Apr 1975 | 2 | 3.2% | +73.7% | +67852.9% |
| Jul 1975 | Aug 1975 | 2 | 0.1% | +69.4% | +65265.2% |
| Jan 1978 | Jan 1978 | 1 | 1.8% | +68.8% | +50206.7% |
| Feb 1978 | Mar 1978 | 3 | 1.7% | +65.1% | +49939.1% |
| Apr 1980 | Apr 1980 | 1 | 0.8% | +58.5% | +36080.2% |
| Feb 1982 | Apr 1982 | 8 | 6.8% | +11.0% | +30298.1% |
| Apr 1982 | Jan 1983 | 36 | 32.0% | +35.1% | +31958.5% |
| Jan 1983 | Jan 1983 | 1 | 0.6% | +15.2% | +28574.2% |
| Feb 1984 | Feb 1984 | 2 | 5.0% | -1.6% | +27608.1% |
| Mar 1984 | Jan 1985 | 42 | 23.5% | -3.7% | +26667.0% |
| Feb 1985 | Feb 1985 | 2 | 1.5% | +9.9% | +28046.8% |
| Apr 1985 | Jul 1985 | 13 | 11.6% | +10.8% | +28286.1% |
| Aug 1985 | Feb 1986 | 27 | 16.7% | -23.7% | +28647.5% |
| Jun 1986 | Feb 1987 | 36 | 26.6% | +0.6% | +27789.0% |
| Mar 1987 | May 1987 | 8 | 7.3% | +58.9% | +29316.2% |
| May 1987 | Jun 1987 | 1 | 0.7% | +69.9% | +28475.3% |
| Oct 1987 | Nov 1987 | 1 | 0.6% | +74.7% | +28625.0% |
| Oct 1990 | Jan 1991 | 15 | 14.4% | +16.6% | +16455.7% |
| Nov 1991 | Feb 1992 | 12 | 15.7% | -18.1% | +14870.3% |
| Mar 1992 | Feb 1993 | 47 | 23.8% | +12.8% | +14048.9% |
| Aug 1998 | Apr 1999 | 33 | 26.2% | +14.2% | +5337.0% |
| Apr 1999 | Apr 1999 | 1 | 0.0% | -3.6% | +4656.9% |
| May 1999 | Dec 1999 | 33 | 14.6% | +11.4% | +4752.5% |
| Jan 2000 | May 2000 | 14 | 18.0% | +6.4% | +4622.2% |
| May 2000 | Dec 2000 | 29 | 25.4% | -8.6% | +4468.3% |
| Jan 2001 | Jan 2001 | 2 | 3.5% | +8.8% | +4513.3% |
| Feb 2001 | Jul 2001 | 20 | 12.9% | +22.1% | +4696.9% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 2 | 10.9% | +30.8% | +5184.0% |
| Oct 2001 | Nov 2001 | 3 | 3.7% | +28.0% | +4819.8% |
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 3 | 1.3% | +67.6% | +4508.0% |
| Sep 2008 | Nov 2009 | 60 | 49.6% | +7.1% | +1986.4% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 2 | 5.0% | +81.2% | +1485.5% |
| Aug 2015 | Feb 2016 | 26 | 10.3% | +9.4% | +783.1% |
| Mar 2016 | Apr 2016 | 4 | 5.9% | +39.7% | +758.3% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 2 | 4.1% | +59.6% | +779.3% |
| Jun 2016 | Jul 2016 | 1 | 0.7% | +56.8% | +744.9% |
| Jul 2016 | Aug 2016 | 4 | 4.9% | +60.7% | +746.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 15.9% | +239.4% | +467.2% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 1 | 6.2% | +209.0% | +399.6% |
| Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 2 | 3.7% | +43.6% | +68.3% |
| Average | 12 | — | +36.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02