DDS
Dillard's Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Department Stores Investor Relations →
Dillard's Inc. (DDS) closed at $666.51 as of 2026-02-02, trading 86.7% above its 200-week moving average of $357.04. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 71.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 62, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, DDS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 30 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -3.8%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $10.4 billion, DDS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.9%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 29.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 5.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 15.5% over the past three years. DDS passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DDS would have grown to $2268, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. DDS has returned 9.9% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -19.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: DDS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DDS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 22 historical episodes, buying DDS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -13.1% after 12 months (median -21.0%), compared to +17.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 27% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +13.7% vs +36.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DDS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
DDS has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +-3.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Mar 1981 | 3 | 9.5% | +77.7% | +210655.3% |
| Oct 1987 | Nov 1987 | 1 | 3.0% | +42.4% | +10766.1% |
| Nov 1987 | Jan 1988 | 10 | 24.8% | +46.6% | +12198.5% |
| Feb 1988 | Mar 1988 | 1 | 1.0% | +35.4% | +10018.6% |
| Aug 1993 | Aug 1993 | 1 | 1.4% | -23.4% | +3071.2% |
| Aug 1993 | Sep 1993 | 3 | 6.2% | -21.4% | +3037.6% |
| Oct 1993 | Oct 1993 | 1 | 0.4% | -27.7% | +2992.2% |
| Dec 1993 | Mar 1996 | 116 | 34.4% | -23.2% | +3003.1% |
| Apr 1996 | Apr 1996 | 1 | 0.6% | -7.8% | +3169.2% |
| Jul 1996 | Jul 1996 | 3 | 6.5% | +5.5% | +3142.4% |
| Sep 1996 | Sep 1996 | 1 | 2.0% | +28.9% | +3215.8% |
| Sep 1996 | Mar 1997 | 25 | 11.3% | +35.3% | +3279.5% |
| Mar 1997 | May 1997 | 6 | 5.6% | +20.2% | +3443.9% |
| Aug 1998 | Nov 1998 | 10 | 13.5% | -27.5% | +3229.6% |
| Nov 1998 | May 1999 | 24 | 26.0% | -38.6% | +3471.0% |
| Jul 1999 | Mar 2002 | 137 | 64.9% | -55.2% | +3211.6% |
| Sep 2002 | Jan 2004 | 67 | 31.7% | -14.4% | +5896.7% |
| May 2004 | May 2004 | 1 | 5.1% | +54.2% | +6499.2% |
| Aug 2007 | Mar 2010 | 134 | 88.3% | -54.8% | +4070.7% |
| Oct 2015 | Feb 2018 | 123 | 46.5% | -32.7% | +910.9% |
| Mar 2018 | May 2018 | 11 | 11.3% | -10.1% | +996.6% |
| Aug 2018 | Sep 2018 | 4 | 5.1% | -25.4% | +1084.4% |
| Sep 2018 | Feb 2019 | 22 | 23.0% | -17.7% | +1056.9% |
| May 2019 | Jul 2019 | 10 | 16.8% | -56.8% | +1230.2% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 8 | 16.7% | -54.2% | +1323.2% |
| Jan 2020 | Jan 2021 | 50 | 63.0% | +47.1% | +1339.3% |
| Average | 30 | — | +-3.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02