DCI

Donaldson Company, Inc. Industrials - Specialty Industrial Machinery Investor Relations →

NO
66.0% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 55.9% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $65.68
14-Week RSI 86

Donaldson Company, Inc. (DCI) closed at $109.03 as of 2026-02-02, trading 66.0% above its 200-week moving average of $65.68. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 55.9% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 86, DCI is in overbought territory.

Over the past 2346 weeks of data, DCI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought DCI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +21.3%.

With a market cap of $12.6 billion, DCI is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.8%. Return on equity stands at 25.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 8.3x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.3% over the past three years. DCI passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DCI would have grown to $6934, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.6% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming DCI as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: DCI vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After DCI Crosses Below the Line?

Across 18 historical episodes, buying DCI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +29.8% after 12 months (median +32.0%), compared to +14.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +47.7% vs +29.2% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DCI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

DCI has crossed below its 200-week MA 29 times with an average 1-year return of +21.3% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Oct 1981Dec 1981711.0%-21.9%+39708.5%
Dec 1981Apr 19837039.9%-21.9%+37792.6%
May 1983May 198321.7%-6.0%+42078.1%
Jun 1983Jun 198327.7%-3.2%+45322.5%
Jul 1983Jul 198310.1%-14.2%+41828.5%
Aug 1983Sep 198344.3%-17.9%+42078.1%
Oct 1983Nov 198335.0%-10.8%+42586.2%
Feb 1984Aug 19858022.7%-3.0%+42078.1%
Sep 1985Sep 198510.3%+80.5%+45912.4%
Nov 1987Dec 1987614.5%+41.7%+32716.4%
Jun 1989Jul 198932.0%+105.9%+24921.2%
Sep 1998Oct 199845.9%+36.1%+3851.8%
Jun 2000Aug 200066.0%+59.5%+2985.9%
Oct 2008Jun 20093436.2%+4.6%+748.2%
Jun 2009Jul 200959.8%+30.6%+706.3%
Sep 2009Oct 200938.3%+36.1%+700.9%
Oct 2009Nov 200910.8%+38.1%+679.6%
May 2015May 201511.5%-6.6%+267.4%
May 2015May 20165324.0%-4.3%+264.6%
Jun 2016Jul 201631.8%+34.1%+266.4%
Feb 2020May 20201321.6%+32.8%+164.5%
Jun 2020Jul 202052.3%+38.4%+162.4%
Sep 2020Sep 202011.6%+32.8%+157.2%
Feb 2022Mar 202222.8%+34.0%+128.0%
Apr 2022May 202265.4%+27.4%+129.2%
Jun 2022Jul 2022710.7%+20.7%+128.9%
Aug 2022Sep 202211.6%+29.6%+125.6%
Sep 2022Oct 202245.1%+22.6%+130.9%
Mar 2025Apr 202510.4%N/A+81.3%
Average11+21.3%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02