DBI
Designer Brands Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Footwear & Accessories Investor Relations →
Designer Brands Inc. (DBI) closed at $6.04 as of 2026-07-31, trading 12.9% below its 200-week moving average of $6.93. This places DBI in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -21.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 37, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.72 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1052 weeks of data, DBI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 41 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -13.1%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $307 million, DBI is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 24.6%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 5.6%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 21.8% over the past three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 20.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DBI would have grown to $53, compared to $848 for the S&P 500. DBI has returned -3.1% annualized vs 11.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -18.9% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: DBI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DBI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying DBI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -13.8% after 12 months (median -19.0%), compared to +9.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 31% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -26.2% vs +23.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DBI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices DBI would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where DBI's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-09-08.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $5.48 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $6.29 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $7.38 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $8.93 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $11.31 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from DBI's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
DBI has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +-13.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2006 | Aug 2006 | 3 | 1.8% | +18.4% | -29.8% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 1 | 0.5% | -56.7% | -38.8% |
| Aug 2007 | Nov 2009 | 118 | 72.3% | -52.3% | -36.7% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 0.2% | +131.0% | -13.5% |
| May 2014 | Aug 2014 | 13 | 10.4% | +41.6% | -65.5% |
| Jul 2015 | Jul 2015 | 1 | 1.2% | -23.0% | -73.2% |
| Aug 2015 | May 2018 | 142 | 40.4% | -17.9% | -73.7% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 1 | 9.0% | -71.2% | -63.7% |
| Apr 2019 | Mar 2021 | 101 | 80.0% | -76.6% | -66.1% |
| May 2021 | May 2022 | 51 | 24.3% | -2.0% | -57.2% |
| Jun 2022 | Aug 2022 | 7 | 13.6% | -33.5% | -51.0% |
| Nov 2022 | Sep 2023 | 40 | 45.2% | +16.3% | -37.9% |
| Oct 2023 | Apr 2026 | 130 | 76.6% | -44.1% | -40.3% |
| May 2026 | May 2026 | 3 | 13.7% | N/A | -12.6% |
| Jun 2026 | Ongoing | 8+ | 22.3% | Ongoing | -11.5% |
| Average | 41 | — | +-13.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DBI below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-07-31, Designer Brands Inc. (DBI) is trading 12.9% below its 200-week moving average of $6.93. The current price is $6.04.
What is DBI's 200-week moving average price?
Designer Brands Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $6.93 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when DBI drops below its 200-week moving average?
DBI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -13.1%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 41 weeks on average.
Is DBI a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about DBI as of 2026-07-31: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 37. Free cash flow yield is 24.6%. Return on equity is 5.6%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does DBI compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 20.2 years, $100 invested in DBI would have grown to $53, compared to $848 for the S&P 500. That's -3.1% annualized vs 11.2% for the index. DBI has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does DBI pay a dividend?
Yes. Designer Brands Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 323.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31