DAC
Danaos Corporation Industrials - Container Shipping Investor Relations →
Danaos Corporation (DAC) closed at $141.63 as of 2026-07-31, trading 82.2% above its 200-week moving average of $77.75. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 81.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 69, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.14 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 984 weeks of data, DAC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times. On average, these episodes lasted 68 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -9.0%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
Return on equity stands at 14.0%. The stock trades at 0.7x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 10.2% over the past three years.
Over the past 18.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in DAC would have grown to $39, compared to $691 for the S&P 500. DAC has returned -4.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -22.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: DAC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After DAC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying DAC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -17.4% after 12 months (median +13.0%), compared to +4.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -26.6% vs +20.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment DAC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from DAC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
DAC has crossed below its 200-week MA 8 times with an average 1-year return of +-9.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2007 | Jan 2008 | 6 | 9.4% | -74.6% | -49.0% |
| Feb 2008 | Apr 2013 | 270 | 86.0% | -81.3% | -48.8% |
| May 2013 | May 2013 | 1 | 0.0% | +49.0% | +194.4% |
| Jun 2013 | Jun 2013 | 1 | 0.3% | +45.0% | +194.4% |
| Sep 2013 | Nov 2013 | 7 | 7.6% | +36.5% | +208.5% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 1 | 1.4% | +42.3% | +172.8% |
| Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 2 | 4.4% | -45.0% | +154.1% |
| Feb 2016 | Dec 2020 | 252 | 87.1% | -44.2% | +162.8% |
| Average | 68 | — | +-9.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DAC below its 200-week moving average?
No. Danaos Corporation (DAC) is currently 82.2% above its 200-week moving average of $77.75. It would need to fall to $77.75 to cross below the line.
What is DAC's 200-week moving average price?
Danaos Corporation's 200-week moving average is $77.75 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when DAC drops below its 200-week moving average?
DAC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -9.0%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 68 weeks on average.
Is DAC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about DAC as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 69. Return on equity is 14.0%. Price-to-book is 0.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does DAC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 18.9 years, $100 invested in DAC would have grown to $39, compared to $691 for the S&P 500. That's -4.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. DAC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does DAC pay a dividend?
Yes. Danaos Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 253.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31