D
Dominion Energy Inc. Utilities - Electric Investor Relations →
Dominion Energy Inc. (D) closed at $63.58 as of 2026-09-18, trading 23.3% above its 200-week moving average of $51.58. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 25.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.16 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2378 weeks of data, D has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought D at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +17.5%.
With a market cap of $55.9 billion, D is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 8.3%. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.
Share count has increased 5.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in D would have grown to $1477, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. D has returned 8.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: D vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After D Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying D when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.7% after 12 months (median +19.0%), compared to +22.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 82% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +20.2% vs +46.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment D crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. D currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | $0.67 | $0.79 | +17.2% |
| 2026-05-01 | $0.91 | $0.95 | +4.4% |
| 2026-02-23 | $0.67 | $0.68 | +1.4% |
| 2025-10-31 | $0.95 | $1.06 | +11.8% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from D's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
D has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +17.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Mar 1981 | 5 | 4.7% | +14.3% | +15623.6% |
| May 1981 | May 1981 | 1 | 0.4% | +23.9% | +14908.9% |
| Sep 1981 | Oct 1981 | 4 | 2.7% | +25.0% | +14908.9% |
| Jan 1982 | Jan 1982 | 1 | 0.5% | +33.3% | +14575.3% |
| Jul 1995 | Jul 1995 | 1 | 0.4% | +13.3% | +1370.6% |
| Apr 1997 | May 1997 | 4 | 4.5% | +24.4% | +1224.4% |
| Sep 2002 | Nov 2002 | 7 | 19.6% | +36.3% | +607.4% |
| Oct 2008 | Nov 2009 | 59 | 25.2% | +8.5% | +304.6% |
| Mar 2018 | Jun 2018 | 14 | 7.8% | +17.8% | +37.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 3.2% | +13.5% | +25.3% |
| Feb 2021 | Mar 2021 | 2 | 3.5% | +20.7% | +19.5% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2024 | 107 | 39.8% | -32.0% | +11.4% |
| Nov 2024 | Feb 2025 | 15 | 7.3% | +11.6% | +20.2% |
| Mar 2025 | May 2025 | 11 | 6.3% | +19.8% | +22.9% |
| Jun 2025 | Jun 2025 | 1 | 1.6% | +31.7% | +23.7% |
| Average | 16 | — | +17.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is D below its 200-week moving average?
No. Dominion Energy Inc. (D) is currently 23.3% above its 200-week moving average of $51.58. It would need to fall to $51.58 to cross below the line.
What is D's 200-week moving average price?
Dominion Energy Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $51.58 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when D drops below its 200-week moving average?
D has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +17.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 16 weeks on average.
Is D a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about D as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 38. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 8.3%. Price-to-book is 2.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does D compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in D would have grown to $1477, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 8.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. D has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does D pay a dividend?
Yes. Dominion Energy Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 415.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18