CXW
CoreCivic, Inc. Industrials - Security & Protection Services Investor Relations →
CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) closed at $19.46 as of 2026-03-20, trading 31.0% above its 200-week moving average of $14.86. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 22.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 53, indicating neutral momentum.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.7x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 1448 weeks of data, CXW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 36 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CXW at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +4.7%.
With a market cap of $2.0 billion, CXW is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 8.0%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 13.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 27.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CXW would have grown to $144, compared to $930 for the S&P 500. CXW has returned 1.3% annualized vs 8.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CXW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CXW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying CXW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +9.8% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +13.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 68% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +32.0% vs +34.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CXW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CXW has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +4.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1998 | Mar 2003 | 246 | 94.8% | -61.9% | +44.3% |
| Oct 2008 | Sep 2009 | 48 | 53.9% | +29.5% | +120.8% |
| Sep 2009 | Sep 2009 | 1 | 3.3% | +8.8% | +94.0% |
| Jan 2010 | Aug 2010 | 32 | 21.0% | +22.8% | +101.9% |
| Sep 2010 | Sep 2010 | 1 | 0.6% | +4.8% | +80.2% |
| Mar 2011 | Mar 2011 | 1 | 0.3% | +15.4% | +80.3% |
| May 2011 | Jun 2011 | 4 | 6.8% | +15.1% | +87.2% |
| Jul 2011 | Aug 2011 | 7 | 12.0% | +37.2% | +86.8% |
| Nov 2011 | Jan 2012 | 7 | 6.1% | +54.2% | +91.4% |
| Oct 2015 | Jan 2016 | 13 | 14.2% | -49.4% | +0.3% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 5.2% | +23.1% | +2.7% |
| Aug 2016 | Jan 2017 | 24 | 52.7% | +3.2% | -5.3% |
| Aug 2017 | Jul 2018 | 48 | 24.6% | +5.2% | -3.9% |
| Sep 2018 | May 2019 | 32 | 23.6% | -20.6% | -4.8% |
| Jun 2019 | Apr 2022 | 146 | 65.3% | -51.5% | +4.6% |
| Apr 2022 | Nov 2022 | 29 | 25.9% | -29.3% | +56.6% |
| Dec 2022 | Dec 2022 | 1 | 1.7% | +26.0% | +70.7% |
| Jan 2023 | Aug 2023 | 31 | 20.6% | +20.4% | +69.4% |
| Aug 2023 | Sep 2023 | 3 | 0.9% | +36.0% | +91.5% |
| Average | 36 | — | +4.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CXW below its 200-week moving average?
No. CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) is currently 31.0% above its 200-week moving average of $14.86. It would need to fall to $14.86 to cross below the line.
What is CXW's 200-week moving average price?
CoreCivic, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $14.86 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CXW drops below its 200-week moving average?
CXW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +4.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 36 weeks on average.
Is CXW a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CXW as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 53. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 8.0%. Price-to-book is 1.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CXW compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 27.8 years, $100 invested in CXW would have grown to $144, compared to $930 for the S&P 500. That's 1.3% annualized vs 8.3% for the index. CXW has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20