CXW

CoreCivic, Inc. Industrials - Security & Protection Services Investor Relations →

NO
27.5% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 26.5% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $14.68
14-Week RSI 51

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) closed at $18.72 as of 2026-02-02, trading 27.5% above its 200-week moving average of $14.68. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 26.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 51, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 1442 weeks of data, CXW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 36 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CXW at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +4.7%.

With a market cap of $2.0 billion, CXW is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.4%. Return on equity stands at 7.4%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.7% over the past three years.

Over the past 27.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CXW would have grown to $138, compared to $988 for the S&P 500. CXW has returned 1.2% annualized vs 8.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 2.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Growth of $100: CXW vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CXW Crosses Below the Line?

Across 19 historical episodes, buying CXW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +9.8% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +13.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 68% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +32.0% vs +34.5% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CXW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

CXW has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +4.7% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jun 1998Mar 200324694.8%-61.9%+38.8%
Oct 2008Sep 20094853.9%+29.5%+112.4%
Sep 2009Sep 200913.3%+8.8%+86.7%
Jan 2010Aug 20103221.0%+22.8%+94.2%
Sep 2010Sep 201010.6%+4.8%+73.4%
Mar 2011Mar 201110.3%+15.4%+73.4%
May 2011Jun 201146.8%+15.1%+80.1%
Jul 2011Aug 2011712.0%+37.2%+79.7%
Nov 2011Jan 201276.1%+54.2%+84.1%
Oct 2015Jan 20161314.2%-49.4%-3.5%
Feb 2016Feb 201615.2%+23.1%-1.2%
Aug 2016Jan 20172452.7%+3.2%-8.9%
Aug 2017Jul 20184824.6%+5.2%-7.6%
Sep 2018May 20193223.6%-20.6%-8.4%
Jun 2019Apr 202214665.3%-51.5%+0.6%
Apr 2022Nov 20222925.9%-29.3%+50.6%
Dec 2022Dec 202211.7%+26.0%+64.2%
Jan 2023Aug 20233120.6%+20.4%+62.9%
Aug 2023Sep 202330.9%+36.0%+84.3%
Average36+4.7%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02