CXT
Crane NXT, Co. Industrials - Security & Detection Investor Relations →
Crane NXT, Co. (CXT) closed at $46.93 as of 2026-06-19, trading 7.9% below its 200-week moving average of $50.94. This places CXT in the deep value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -16.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.17 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2365 weeks of data, CXT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CXT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.5%.
With a market cap of $2.7 billion, CXT is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.3%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 11.0%. The stock trades at 2.2x book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CXT would have grown to $2399, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. CXT has returned 10.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -11.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CXT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CXT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying CXT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +12.8% after 12 months (median +13.0%), compared to +5.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 59% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +26.9% vs +9.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CXT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CXT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CXT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-05.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $34.32 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $37.18 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $40.56 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $44.61 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $49.57 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CXT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CXT has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +12.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1981 | Jun 1981 | 1 | 1.2% | -42.2% | +10570.6% |
| Aug 1981 | Mar 1983 | 82 | 48.8% | -42.1% | +10959.2% |
| Apr 1983 | Aug 1983 | 21 | 15.0% | +9.4% | +13532.2% |
| Oct 1983 | Feb 1984 | 21 | 18.6% | +7.8% | +12946.4% |
| Nov 1987 | Dec 1987 | 1 | 1.7% | +89.1% | +8836.3% |
| Mar 1999 | Mar 1999 | 1 | 0.3% | +7.7% | +922.8% |
| Aug 1999 | Apr 2000 | 32 | 33.2% | +4.7% | +874.8% |
| Jun 2000 | Aug 2000 | 10 | 13.0% | +28.1% | +828.8% |
| Sep 2000 | Oct 2000 | 7 | 13.9% | +28.5% | +939.0% |
| Nov 2000 | Nov 2000 | 1 | 0.6% | -5.0% | +792.5% |
| Sep 2001 | Dec 2001 | 14 | 19.6% | -0.3% | +965.0% |
| Jan 2002 | Mar 2002 | 8 | 10.3% | -15.7% | +792.4% |
| Jul 2002 | Jun 2003 | 51 | 31.6% | +5.9% | +837.5% |
| Jul 2008 | Jan 2010 | 75 | 66.7% | -35.9% | +468.8% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 6 | 5.6% | +40.9% | +486.9% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 3 | 2.8% | +57.6% | +493.6% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 3 | 7.6% | +77.1% | +526.4% |
| Jul 2015 | Apr 2016 | 38 | 18.0% | +12.0% | +205.5% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 3 | 1.7% | +49.9% | +196.2% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | 0.6% | -20.3% | +108.4% |
| Feb 2020 | Dec 2020 | 41 | 47.9% | +26.7% | +121.0% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 2.2% | -9.6% | +6.0% |
| Dec 2025 | Jan 2026 | 3 | 4.9% | N/A | +0.2% |
| Feb 2026 | Ongoing | 17+ | 28.9% | Ongoing | -2.0% |
| Average | 18 | — | +12.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CXT below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Crane NXT, Co. (CXT) is trading 7.9% below its 200-week moving average of $50.94. The current price is $46.93.
What is CXT's 200-week moving average price?
Crane NXT, Co.'s 200-week moving average is $50.94 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CXT drops below its 200-week moving average?
CXT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +12.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is CXT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CXT as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 56. Free cash flow yield is 6.3%. Return on equity is 11.0%. Price-to-book is 2.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CXT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in CXT would have grown to $2399, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 10.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. CXT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CXT pay a dividend?
Yes. Crane NXT, Co. currently pays a dividend yield of 168.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19