CXT
Crane NXT, Co. Industrials - Security & Detection Investor Relations →
Crane NXT, Co. (CXT) closed at $51.95 as of 2026-07-31, trading 0.7% above its 200-week moving average of $51.58. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 2.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 60, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.27 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2371 weeks of data, CXT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CXT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.5%.
With a market cap of $3.0 billion, CXT is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.7%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 11.0%. The stock trades at 2.4x book value.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CXT would have grown to $2656, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. CXT has returned 10.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 6 open-market purchases totaling $1,294,623. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -11.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CXT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CXT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying CXT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +12.9% after 12 months (median +13.0%), compared to +5.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 59% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +26.8% vs +9.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CXT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CXT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CXT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $34.35 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $37.58 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $41.49 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $46.29 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $52.36 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CXT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CXT has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +12.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1981 | Jun 1981 | 1 | 1.2% | -42.2% | +11712.0% |
| Aug 1981 | Mar 1983 | 82 | 48.8% | -42.1% | +12142.2% |
| Apr 1983 | Aug 1983 | 21 | 15.0% | +9.4% | +14990.4% |
| Oct 1983 | Feb 1984 | 21 | 18.6% | +7.8% | +14342.0% |
| Nov 1987 | Dec 1987 | 1 | 1.8% | +89.1% | +9792.2% |
| Mar 1999 | Mar 1999 | 1 | 0.3% | +7.7% | +1032.2% |
| Aug 1999 | Apr 2000 | 32 | 30.2% | +4.7% | +979.1% |
| Jun 2000 | Aug 2000 | 10 | 13.0% | +28.1% | +928.1% |
| Sep 2000 | Oct 2000 | 7 | 13.9% | +28.5% | +1050.2% |
| Nov 2000 | Nov 2000 | 1 | 0.6% | -5.0% | +887.9% |
| Sep 2001 | Dec 2001 | 14 | 19.6% | -0.3% | +1078.9% |
| Jan 2002 | Mar 2002 | 8 | 10.3% | -15.7% | +887.8% |
| Jul 2002 | Jun 2003 | 51 | 31.6% | +5.9% | +937.8% |
| Jul 2008 | Jan 2010 | 75 | 66.7% | -35.9% | +529.6% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 6 | 5.7% | +40.9% | +549.7% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 3 | 2.8% | +57.6% | +557.1% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 3 | 7.6% | +77.1% | +593.4% |
| Jul 2015 | Apr 2016 | 38 | 18.0% | +12.0% | +238.1% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 3 | 1.8% | +49.9% | +227.9% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | 0.6% | -20.3% | +130.6% |
| Feb 2020 | Dec 2020 | 41 | 47.9% | +26.6% | +143.3% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 2.2% | -9.6% | +17.4% |
| Dec 2025 | Jan 2026 | 3 | 4.9% | N/A | +11.0% |
| Feb 2026 | Jul 2026 | 21 | 28.9% | N/A | +8.1% |
| Average | 19 | — | +12.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CXT below its 200-week moving average?
No. Crane NXT, Co. (CXT) is currently 0.7% above its 200-week moving average of $51.58. It would need to fall to $51.58 to cross below the line.
What is CXT's 200-week moving average price?
Crane NXT, Co.'s 200-week moving average is $51.58 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CXT drops below its 200-week moving average?
CXT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +12.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 19 weeks on average.
Is CXT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CXT as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 60. Free cash flow yield is 5.7%. Return on equity is 11.0%. Price-to-book is 2.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CXT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in CXT would have grown to $2656, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 10.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. CXT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CXT pay a dividend?
Yes. Crane NXT, Co. currently pays a dividend yield of 140.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31