CWST
Casella Waste Systems, Inc. Industrials - Waste Management Investor Relations →
Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) closed at $104.65 as of 2026-02-02, trading 13.3% above its 200-week moving average of $92.36. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 9.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 72, CWST is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1427 weeks of data, CWST has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 30 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -16.1%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $6.6 billion, CWST is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.9%. Return on equity stands at 1.0%. The stock trades at 4.2x book value.
Share count has increased 23.2% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 27.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CWST would have grown to $355, compared to $1011 for the S&P 500. CWST has returned 4.7% annualized vs 8.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: CWST vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CWST Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying CWST when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -18.2% after 12 months (median -17.0%), compared to +7.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 26% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -17.8% vs +17.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CWST crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CWST has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +-16.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1999 | Jul 1999 | 27 | 25.2% | -33.3% | +289.4% |
| Aug 1999 | Jul 2003 | 208 | 80.5% | -51.0% | +336.0% |
| Apr 2005 | Apr 2005 | 1 | 0.6% | +30.2% | +806.1% |
| May 2005 | Jun 2005 | 6 | 2.6% | +34.1% | +805.3% |
| Jul 2006 | Jul 2006 | 2 | 2.7% | -11.4% | +786.1% |
| Aug 2006 | Oct 2007 | 59 | 29.9% | -4.7% | +789.1% |
| Dec 2007 | Jun 2008 | 24 | 21.5% | -68.6% | +761.3% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 2 | 5.9% | -82.6% | +794.4% |
| Sep 2008 | Jan 2011 | 121 | 94.7% | -72.4% | +941.3% |
| Mar 2011 | Mar 2011 | 2 | 4.6% | -10.1% | +1407.9% |
| Apr 2011 | Apr 2011 | 1 | 5.6% | -2.1% | +1500.2% |
| Apr 2011 | Oct 2011 | 24 | 24.8% | -6.5% | +1448.1% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 5.7% | -18.4% | +1802.7% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 1 | 4.9% | -18.0% | +2040.1% |
| Aug 2012 | Sep 2012 | 5 | 6.9% | +5.8% | +2246.4% |
| Sep 2012 | Aug 2013 | 48 | 21.5% | +35.4% | +2350.8% |
| Jan 2014 | Feb 2014 | 4 | 4.4% | -26.5% | +1882.0% |
| Feb 2014 | May 2014 | 13 | 8.7% | -17.9% | +1852.4% |
| Jun 2014 | Mar 2015 | 39 | 31.1% | +12.1% | +1936.0% |
| Sep 2025 | Nov 2025 | 9 | 5.8% | N/A | +20.7% |
| Average | 30 | — | +-16.1% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02