CVS

CVS Health Corporation Healthcare - Pharmacy & Healthcare Investor Relations →

NO
14.3% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 8.6% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $68.54
14-Week RSI 51

CVS Health Corporation (CVS) closed at $78.35 as of 2026-02-02, trading 14.3% above its 200-week moving average of $68.54. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 8.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 51, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 2715 weeks of data, CVS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CVS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +21.9%.

With a market cap of $99.5 billion, CVS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 0.6%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CVS would have grown to $1272, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. CVS has returned 8.0% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 2 open-market purchases totaling $2,101,009.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -26.2% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: CVS vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CVS Crosses Below the Line?

Across 23 historical episodes, buying CVS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +13.5% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +9.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 64% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +19.6% vs +20.4% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CVS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Advertisement

Insider Buying Activity

1 conviction buy in the past 12 months (purchases over $500K with meaningful position increases).

DateInsiderTitleValueSharesPosition +%
2025-02-18MAHONEY MICHAEL FDirector$2,001,00030,000N/A

Historical Touches

CVS has crossed below its 200-week MA 31 times with an average 1-year return of +21.9% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jan 1974Apr 19756266.1%-2.4%+32756.4%
Jul 1975Aug 197547.2%+60.5%+23533.5%
Sep 1975Sep 197510.3%+61.7%+23328.0%
Nov 1979Nov 197910.2%+39.2%+12791.0%
Dec 1979Jan 198010.8%+37.8%+12791.0%
Feb 1980Apr 198088.1%+74.0%+13371.1%
Nov 1987Dec 1987410.0%+43.2%+2961.2%
Oct 1990Nov 199068.3%+32.8%+1869.6%
Nov 1991Dec 199153.9%+36.1%+1585.0%
Jul 1993Jul 199311.2%-7.8%+1375.7%
Sep 1993Oct 199341.3%-11.1%+1375.9%
Oct 1993Apr 199612929.1%-19.8%+1384.4%
Dec 1999Dec 199913.3%+83.1%+679.0%
Feb 2000Mar 2000210.5%+99.4%+712.9%
Jul 2000Aug 200010.6%+0.1%+583.0%
Jun 2001Nov 200312546.4%-20.2%+537.1%
Dec 2003Jan 200463.7%+31.5%+588.1%
Mar 2004Apr 200442.4%+50.7%+581.8%
Sep 2008Jul 20094225.1%+11.8%+266.9%
Nov 2009Jan 2010910.6%+5.0%+288.5%
Jan 2010Feb 201047.3%+7.7%+248.1%
May 2010Dec 20102818.4%+13.8%+240.8%
Jan 2011Mar 201173.0%+35.1%+249.2%
Aug 2011Aug 201123.1%+37.2%+240.7%
Nov 2016Nov 201915632.9%-3.0%+39.3%
Jan 2020Feb 202012.5%+9.0%+40.4%
Feb 2020Nov 20203620.3%+18.8%+60.9%
Mar 2023Dec 20234014.6%+7.7%+18.3%
Jan 2024Feb 202455.0%-34.7%+12.1%
Feb 2024Mar 202424.1%-6.9%+15.2%
Apr 2024Aug 20257240.9%-10.8%+14.0%
Average25+21.9%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02