CVNA
Carvana Co. Consumer Discretionary - Auto Retail Investor Relations →
Carvana Co. (CVNA) closed at $403.67 as of 2026-02-02, trading 190.5% above its 200-week moving average of $138.97. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 191.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 62, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 410 weeks of data, CVNA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 42 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CVNA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +209.9%.
With a market cap of $87.5 billion, CVNA is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.1%. Return on equity stands at 68.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 25.0x book value.
Share count has increased 48.2% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 7.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CVNA would have grown to $1585, compared to $295 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 41.8% vs 14.6% for the index — confirming CVNA as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: CVNA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CVNA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying CVNA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +99.3% after 12 months (median -90.0%), compared to +13.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +23.0% vs +37.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CVNA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CVNA has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +209.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 34.9% | +817.3% | +1275.4% |
| Jan 2022 | Jan 2022 | 1 | 4.2% | -95.2% | +197.6% |
| Feb 2022 | Jun 2024 | 124 | 97.2% | -92.3% | +185.6% |
| Average | 42 | — | +209.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02