CVLT
Commvault Systems, Inc. Technology - Software - Application Investor Relations →
Commvault Systems, Inc. (CVLT) closed at $86.07 as of 2026-02-02, trading 19.7% below its 200-week moving average of $107.20. This places CVLT in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -20.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 17, CVLT is in oversold territory.
Over the past 963 weeks of data, CVLT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CVLT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.3%.
With a market cap of $3.8 billion, CVLT is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.5%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 34.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 17.5x book value.
Over the past 18.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CVLT would have grown to $452, compared to $660 for the S&P 500. CVLT has returned 8.5% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 5.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: CVLT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CVLT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying CVLT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.8% after 12 months (median +6.0%), compared to +3.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +73.6% vs +22.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CVLT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CVLT has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +10.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2007 | Oct 2007 | 1 | 0.4% | -49.0% | +380.6% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 1 | 3.3% | -29.8% | +382.7% |
| Feb 2008 | Jun 2009 | 70 | 52.3% | -21.7% | +484.7% |
| Jul 2009 | Jul 2009 | 1 | 0.2% | +47.8% | +443.7% |
| Apr 2014 | Nov 2016 | 134 | 45.1% | -0.6% | +81.0% |
| Nov 2016 | Jan 2017 | 6 | 7.2% | +5.8% | +68.6% |
| Jan 2017 | May 2017 | 14 | 8.1% | +11.1% | +71.1% |
| Apr 2019 | Dec 2020 | 85 | 44.2% | -21.5% | +62.9% |
| Jul 2022 | Aug 2022 | 1 | 1.3% | +38.9% | +53.4% |
| Aug 2022 | Oct 2022 | 8 | 9.0% | +22.9% | +55.0% |
| Jan 2023 | Jan 2023 | 1 | 2.4% | +41.8% | +55.9% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 3 | 3.3% | +78.0% | +55.1% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 2+ | 20.0% | Ongoing | +0.4% |
| Average | 25 | — | +10.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02