CVLT
Commvault Systems, Inc. Technology - Software - Application Investor Relations →
Commvault Systems, Inc. (CVLT) closed at $79.41 as of 2026-03-20, trading 26.4% below its 200-week moving average of $107.93. This places CVLT in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -26.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 22, CVLT is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.87 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 969 weeks of data, CVLT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CVLT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.3%.
With a market cap of $3.5 billion, CVLT is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.1%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 34.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 16.1x book value.
Over the past 18.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CVLT would have grown to $417, compared to $622 for the S&P 500. CVLT has returned 7.9% annualized vs 10.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 5.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CVLT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CVLT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying CVLT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.8% after 12 months (median +6.0%), compared to +3.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +73.6% vs +22.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CVLT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CVLT has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +10.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2007 | Oct 2007 | 1 | 0.4% | -49.0% | +343.4% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 1 | 3.3% | -29.8% | +345.4% |
| Feb 2008 | Jun 2009 | 70 | 52.3% | -21.7% | +439.5% |
| Jul 2009 | Jul 2009 | 1 | 0.2% | +47.8% | +401.6% |
| Apr 2014 | Nov 2016 | 134 | 45.1% | -0.6% | +67.0% |
| Nov 2016 | Jan 2017 | 6 | 7.2% | +5.8% | +55.6% |
| Jan 2017 | May 2017 | 14 | 8.1% | +11.1% | +57.9% |
| Apr 2019 | Dec 2020 | 85 | 44.2% | -21.5% | +50.3% |
| Jul 2022 | Aug 2022 | 1 | 1.3% | +38.9% | +41.6% |
| Aug 2022 | Oct 2022 | 8 | 9.0% | +22.9% | +43.0% |
| Jan 2023 | Jan 2023 | 1 | 2.4% | +41.8% | +43.9% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 3 | 3.3% | +78.0% | +43.1% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 8+ | 26.8% | Ongoing | -7.3% |
| Average | 26 | — | +10.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CVLT below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Commvault Systems, Inc. (CVLT) is trading 26.4% below its 200-week moving average of $107.93. The current price is $79.41.
What is CVLT's 200-week moving average price?
Commvault Systems, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $107.93 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CVLT drops below its 200-week moving average?
CVLT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +10.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 26 weeks on average.
Is CVLT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CVLT as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 22 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 7.1%. Return on equity is 34.5%. Price-to-book is 16.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CVLT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 18.7 years, $100 invested in CVLT would have grown to $417, compared to $622 for the S&P 500. That's 7.9% annualized vs 10.3% for the index. CVLT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20