CVGW
Calavo Growers, Inc. Consumer Defensive - Food Distribution Investor Relations →
Calavo Growers, Inc. (CVGW) closed at $26.09 as of 2026-05-29, trading 1.1% below its 200-week moving average of $26.38. This places CVGW in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 0.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.06 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1196 weeks of data, CVGW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CVGW at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +46.4%.
With a market cap of $466 million, CVGW is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.6%. Return on equity stands at 8.0%. The stock trades at 2.3x book value.
Over the past 23 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CVGW would have grown to $616, compared to $1182 for the S&P 500. CVGW has returned 8.2% annualized vs 11.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -21.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CVGW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CVGW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying CVGW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +43.4% after 12 months (median +62.0%), compared to +8.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 82% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +38.0% vs +15.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CVGW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CVGW would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CVGW's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-01-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $20.53 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $22.63 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $25.21 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $28.45 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $32.64 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CVGW's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CVGW has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +46.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2003 | Jul 2003 | 1 | 0.6% | +85.9% | +516.0% |
| Aug 2003 | Sep 2003 | 4 | 2.0% | +73.3% | +516.9% |
| Aug 2005 | Sep 2005 | 2 | 2.5% | +15.5% | +362.9% |
| Oct 2006 | Oct 2006 | 2 | 1.5% | +121.4% | +335.5% |
| Jun 2008 | Aug 2008 | 5 | 7.3% | +90.3% | +247.1% |
| Sep 2008 | Sep 2008 | 1 | 10.6% | +89.8% | +256.2% |
| Sep 2008 | Dec 2008 | 13 | 41.9% | +65.4% | +223.3% |
| Mar 2009 | Mar 2009 | 1 | 6.1% | +71.5% | +232.0% |
| Jan 2020 | Mar 2021 | 57 | 31.4% | +1.0% | -61.2% |
| Mar 2021 | Apr 2021 | 3 | 2.2% | -51.0% | -62.4% |
| Apr 2021 | Apr 2026 | 258 | 59.9% | -52.3% | -62.6% |
| May 2026 | Ongoing | 3+ | 1.1% | Ongoing | -1.4% |
| Average | 29 | — | +46.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CVGW below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-29, Calavo Growers, Inc. (CVGW) is trading 1.1% below its 200-week moving average of $26.38. The current price is $26.09.
What is CVGW's 200-week moving average price?
Calavo Growers, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $26.38 as of 2026-05-29. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CVGW drops below its 200-week moving average?
CVGW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +46.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 29 weeks on average.
Is CVGW a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CVGW as of 2026-05-29: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 49. Free cash flow yield is 4.6%. Return on equity is 8.0%. Price-to-book is 2.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CVGW compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 23 years, $100 invested in CVGW would have grown to $616, compared to $1182 for the S&P 500. That's 8.2% annualized vs 11.3% for the index. CVGW has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CVGW pay a dividend?
Yes. Calavo Growers, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 3.07%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-29