CVGI

Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Auto Parts Investor Relations →

YES
67.6% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -70.4% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $5.03
14-Week RSI 54

Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. (CVGI) closed at $1.63 as of 2026-02-02, trading 67.6% below its 200-week moving average of $5.03. This places CVGI in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -70.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 54, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 1073 weeks of data, CVGI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CVGI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +0.4%.

With a market cap of $60 million, CVGI is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 54.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -31.1%. The stock trades at 0.4x book value.

Share count has increased 5.2% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.

Over the past 20.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CVGI would have grown to $7, compared to $816 for the S&P 500. CVGI has returned -12.1% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: CVGI vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CVGI Crosses Below the Line?

Across 26 historical episodes, buying CVGI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -0.6% after 12 months (median +1.0%), compared to +17.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -16.5% vs +31.3% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CVGI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

CVGI has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +0.4% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Oct 2005Oct 200521.8%+3.1%-91.5%
Oct 2005Nov 200511.9%+6.8%-91.3%
Dec 2005Jan 200654.6%+17.9%-91.1%
Jan 2006Mar 200675.8%+8.0%-91.3%
Apr 2006Apr 200634.3%+9.3%-91.1%
Jun 2006Sep 2006149.3%+1.3%-91.4%
Feb 2007Mar 200721.2%-51.3%-91.5%
Apr 2007May 201015796.9%-33.4%-91.3%
Jun 2010Jul 201034.0%+47.5%-83.4%
Aug 2010Aug 201035.3%-21.5%-83.2%
Aug 2011Oct 20111033.2%+0.2%-79.7%
May 2012Jun 201243.0%-5.6%-80.4%
Jul 2012Aug 2012410.8%-6.6%-80.1%
Aug 2012Jun 20149632.1%-14.3%-80.5%
Jul 2014Feb 201713370.3%-40.9%-83.7%
Feb 2017Mar 201757.8%+73.7%-73.6%
Aug 2017Aug 201724.8%+53.2%-73.0%
Dec 2018Jan 2019512.0%+12.7%-73.2%
May 2019Jun 201925.2%-59.3%-73.8%
Aug 2019Sep 201938.9%-32.3%-73.5%
Nov 2019Nov 201910.6%+5.8%-76.4%
Dec 2019Nov 20204981.6%+13.3%-76.2%
Apr 2022Jul 20221324.2%+2.1%-77.3%
Aug 2022Jan 20232043.1%+26.9%-76.3%
Mar 2023Apr 202346.1%-6.8%-75.3%
Oct 2023Ongoing122+86.3%Ongoing-77.4%
Average26+0.4%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02