CUK
Carnival Corporation & plc Consumer Cyclical - Travel Services Investor Relations →
Carnival Corporation & plc (CUK) closed at $33.69 as of 2026-02-02, trading 107.2% above its 200-week moving average of $16.26. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 84.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 69, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1271 weeks of data, CUK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CUK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +19.4%.
With a market cap of $44.5 billion, CUK is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.5%. Return on equity stands at 25.6%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 3.6x book value.
Share count has increased 4.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 24.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CUK would have grown to $411, compared to $1016 for the S&P 500. CUK has returned 6.0% annualized vs 10.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: CUK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CUK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying CUK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +19.2% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +11.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 72% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +23.4% vs +27.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CUK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CUK has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +19.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2001 | Nov 2001 | 7 | 33.4% | +110.7% | +379.5% |
| May 2006 | Aug 2006 | 14 | 10.2% | +27.7% | +19.7% |
| Jul 2007 | Oct 2007 | 12 | 9.5% | -35.5% | +1.5% |
| Oct 2007 | Feb 2010 | 122 | 62.1% | -41.0% | +3.2% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 4 | 9.0% | +11.6% | +27.2% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 3 | 7.2% | -6.7% | +31.0% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 10 | 15.9% | +10.0% | +35.3% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 2 | 7.6% | +19.7% | +30.0% |
| Dec 2011 | Jan 2012 | 1 | 0.4% | +19.1% | +30.2% |
| Jan 2012 | Jun 2012 | 20 | 9.8% | +34.3% | +37.1% |
| Apr 2013 | Apr 2013 | 1 | 0.8% | +15.9% | +20.6% |
| May 2013 | Jun 2013 | 5 | 3.6% | +22.8% | +21.9% |
| Sep 2013 | Oct 2013 | 4 | 5.6% | +21.8% | +19.6% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 1 | 0.1% | +53.4% | +12.9% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 4 | 11.9% | +3.8% | -24.8% |
| Mar 2019 | Dec 2023 | 245 | 84.3% | -74.2% | -29.2% |
| Jan 2024 | Jun 2024 | 22 | 14.7% | +59.8% | +132.7% |
| Jul 2024 | Sep 2024 | 6 | 10.1% | +95.4% | +147.7% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 1 | 1.3% | N/A | +126.1% |
| Average | 26 | — | +19.4% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02