CTVA

Corteva, Inc. Basic Materials - Agricultural Inputs Investor Relations →

NO
24.7% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 25.2% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $58.22
14-Week RSI 86

Corteva, Inc. (CTVA) closed at $72.60 as of 2026-02-02, trading 24.7% above its 200-week moving average of $58.22. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 25.2% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 86, CTVA is in overbought territory.

Over the past 302 weeks of data, CTVA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 2 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CTVA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +57.3%.

With a market cap of $49.1 billion, CTVA is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.1%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 5.0%. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.6% over the past three years.

Over the past 5.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CTVA would have grown to $305, compared to $258 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 20.8% vs 17.4% for the index — confirming CTVA as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: CTVA vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CTVA Crosses Below the Line?

Across 6 historical episodes, buying CTVA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +51.7% after 12 months (median +55.0%), compared to +35.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +81.0% vs +40.5% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CTVA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

CTVA has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +57.3% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Apr 2020May 2020416.1%+94.6%+205.3%
Jun 2020Jul 202034.0%+72.8%+198.6%
Aug 2020Aug 202016.4%+79.3%+205.6%
Nov 2023Nov 202315.5%+35.6%+71.0%
Nov 2023Dec 202322.5%+36.4%+61.2%
Jan 2024Jan 202432.9%+25.2%+60.9%
Average2+57.3%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02