CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc. Energy - Oil & Gas E&P Investor Relations →
Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) closed at $35.38 as of 2026-05-01, trading 42.4% above its 200-week moving average of $24.84. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 35.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 70, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, up-weeks have carried more volume than down-weeks (1.66 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). When trading picks up, it's more often on days the price is rising — buyers are showing more interest than sellers.
Over the past 1842 weeks of data, CTRA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CTRA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +1.5%.
With a market cap of $26.9 billion, CTRA is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.5%. Return on equity stands at 12.3%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CTRA would have grown to $3813, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.5% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming CTRA as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -24.2% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CTRA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CTRA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 27 historical episodes, buying CTRA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.9% after 12 months (median +5.0%), compared to +11.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +17.7% vs +31.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CTRA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CTRA has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +1.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1991 | Apr 1991 | 12 | 15.3% | -15.8% | +4685.4% |
| Apr 1991 | Apr 1991 | 1 | 1.3% | -20.4% | +4183.9% |
| May 1991 | May 1991 | 1 | 1.9% | -11.7% | +4207.2% |
| Jun 1991 | Jul 1991 | 3 | 8.8% | -17.5% | +4460.6% |
| Oct 1991 | Jul 1992 | 41 | 31.7% | +15.4% | +4129.5% |
| Nov 1994 | Dec 1996 | 109 | 29.1% | -20.6% | +3664.0% |
| Dec 1996 | Jan 1997 | 4 | 3.4% | +11.0% | +3630.6% |
| Feb 1997 | May 1997 | 12 | 9.5% | +16.8% | +3603.8% |
| Dec 1997 | Dec 1997 | 1 | 2.2% | -8.3% | +3768.6% |
| Aug 1998 | Oct 1998 | 11 | 20.4% | +14.4% | +3858.8% |
| Nov 1998 | Apr 1999 | 22 | 35.0% | -1.8% | +3855.2% |
| Sep 1999 | Apr 2000 | 29 | 22.5% | +15.1% | +3721.1% |
| Jul 2000 | Aug 2000 | 2 | 0.6% | +41.2% | +3439.2% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 2.4% | +9.3% | +3137.6% |
| Feb 2002 | Feb 2002 | 3 | 5.3% | +24.9% | +3188.8% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2002 | 3 | 2.6% | +36.1% | +3019.2% |
| Sep 2008 | May 2009 | 34 | 36.2% | +18.5% | +589.7% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 4 | 10.6% | +14.9% | +526.4% |
| Apr 2010 | Dec 2010 | 34 | 26.6% | +56.3% | +450.4% |
| Jan 2015 | Feb 2015 | 2 | 1.5% | -21.5% | +85.5% |
| Jul 2015 | Oct 2017 | 119 | 46.8% | -7.7% | +85.3% |
| Jan 2018 | Oct 2018 | 39 | 11.4% | +0.6% | +92.2% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 4 | 5.6% | -29.8% | +106.1% |
| Feb 2019 | Feb 2019 | 1 | 0.1% | -37.6% | +100.0% |
| Jun 2019 | Jul 2019 | 1 | 2.0% | -26.2% | +107.9% |
| Jul 2019 | Sep 2021 | 114 | 38.3% | -17.8% | +113.9% |
| May 2025 | May 2025 | 1 | 1.0% | N/A | +56.4% |
| Jul 2025 | Nov 2025 | 15 | 6.0% | N/A | +53.5% |
| Average | 22 | — | +1.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTRA below its 200-week moving average?
No. Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) is currently 42.4% above its 200-week moving average of $24.84. It would need to fall to $24.84 to cross below the line.
What is CTRA's 200-week moving average price?
Coterra Energy Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $24.84 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CTRA drops below its 200-week moving average?
CTRA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +1.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.
Is CTRA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CTRA as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 70. Free cash flow yield is 4.5%. Return on equity is 12.3%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CTRA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in CTRA would have grown to $3813, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 11.5% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. CTRA has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CTRA pay a dividend?
Yes. Coterra Energy Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 249.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01