CTO
CTO Realty Growth, Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Diversified Investor Relations →
CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CTO) closed at $20.44 as of 2026-05-01, trading 31.8% above its 200-week moving average of $15.51. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 27.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 68, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.13 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2358 weeks of data, CTO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 40 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CTO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +9.1%.
With a market cap of $691 million, CTO is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 2.4%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.
Share count has increased 41.6% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CTO would have grown to $1398, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. CTO has returned 8.2% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 4.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CTO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CTO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying CTO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +22.1% after 12 months (median +22.0%), compared to +22.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 85% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +47.4% vs +36.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CTO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CTO has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +9.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Mar 1981 | 5 | 6.0% | -7.5% | +2641.6% |
| May 1981 | Apr 1983 | 99 | 22.5% | -12.5% | +2494.7% |
| Dec 1989 | Dec 1989 | 3 | 4.5% | -44.5% | +888.5% |
| Jan 1990 | Jun 1992 | 127 | 54.1% | -26.6% | +972.3% |
| Jul 1992 | Apr 1993 | 40 | 17.5% | +0.4% | +1080.8% |
| Jul 1994 | Aug 1994 | 3 | 1.4% | +15.6% | +1212.2% |
| Sep 1994 | Oct 1994 | 4 | 2.0% | +37.0% | +1217.3% |
| Nov 1994 | Mar 1995 | 18 | 7.4% | +28.4% | +1204.1% |
| Aug 1998 | Aug 1999 | 51 | 26.2% | +8.3% | +825.1% |
| Aug 1999 | Jan 2001 | 75 | 27.4% | -13.1% | +818.2% |
| Mar 2001 | Mar 2001 | 1 | 0.5% | +46.5% | +854.0% |
| Dec 2007 | Sep 2012 | 245 | 61.9% | -32.3% | +125.1% |
| Nov 2012 | Nov 2012 | 1 | 1.6% | +21.4% | +317.3% |
| Dec 2012 | Dec 2012 | 4 | 2.4% | +21.6% | +320.4% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 4 | 9.3% | +17.5% | +129.1% |
| Mar 2020 | Jan 2021 | 44 | 37.6% | +46.2% | +143.9% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 2.2% | +47.9% | +121.9% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 1 | 2.7% | N/A | +39.6% |
| Average | 40 | — | +9.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTO below its 200-week moving average?
No. CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CTO) is currently 31.8% above its 200-week moving average of $15.51. It would need to fall to $15.51 to cross below the line.
What is CTO's 200-week moving average price?
CTO Realty Growth, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $15.51 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CTO drops below its 200-week moving average?
CTO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +9.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 40 weeks on average.
Is CTO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CTO as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 68. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 2.4%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CTO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in CTO would have grown to $1398, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 8.2% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. CTO has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CTO pay a dividend?
Yes. CTO Realty Growth, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 744.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01