CTO
CTO Realty Growth, Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Diversified Investor Relations →
CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CTO) closed at $18.59 as of 2026-02-02, trading 19.4% above its 200-week moving average of $15.57. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 14.2% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 74, CTO is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, CTO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 40 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CTO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +9.1%.
With a market cap of $612 million, CTO is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 9.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -5.8%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
Share count has increased 78.5% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CTO would have grown to $1246, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. CTO has returned 7.9% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 36% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: CTO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CTO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying CTO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +22.1% after 12 months (median +22.0%), compared to +22.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 85% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +47.4% vs +36.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CTO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CTO has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +9.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Mar 1981 | 5 | 6.0% | -7.5% | +2344.1% |
| May 1981 | Apr 1983 | 99 | 22.5% | -12.5% | +2213.2% |
| Dec 1989 | Dec 1989 | 3 | 4.5% | -44.5% | +781.3% |
| Jan 1990 | Jun 1992 | 127 | 54.1% | -26.6% | +856.0% |
| Jul 1992 | Apr 1993 | 40 | 17.5% | +0.4% | +952.7% |
| Jul 1994 | Aug 1994 | 3 | 1.4% | +15.6% | +1069.8% |
| Sep 1994 | Oct 1994 | 4 | 2.0% | +37.0% | +1074.3% |
| Nov 1994 | Mar 1995 | 18 | 7.4% | +28.4% | +1062.6% |
| Aug 1998 | Aug 1999 | 51 | 26.2% | +8.3% | +724.8% |
| Aug 1999 | Jan 2001 | 75 | 27.4% | -13.1% | +718.6% |
| Mar 2001 | Mar 2001 | 1 | 0.5% | +46.5% | +750.5% |
| Dec 2007 | Sep 2012 | 245 | 61.9% | -32.3% | +100.6% |
| Nov 2012 | Nov 2012 | 1 | 1.6% | +21.4% | +272.0% |
| Dec 2012 | Dec 2012 | 4 | 2.4% | +21.6% | +274.8% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 4 | 9.3% | +17.5% | +104.2% |
| Mar 2020 | Jan 2021 | 44 | 37.6% | +46.2% | +117.4% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 2.2% | +47.9% | +97.8% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 1 | 2.7% | N/A | +24.4% |
| Average | 40 | — | +9.1% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02