CSX
CSX Corporation Industrials - Railroads Investor Relations →
CSX Corporation (CSX) closed at $40.61 as of 2026-02-02, trading 27.1% above its 200-week moving average of $31.96. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 18.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 68, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2313 weeks of data, CSX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CSX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +31.3%.
With a market cap of $75.7 billion, CSX is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.2%. Return on equity stands at 22.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 5.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 13.7% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CSX would have grown to $3707, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.5% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming CSX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $2,027,850.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -6.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: CSX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CSX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 22 historical episodes, buying CSX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +22.5% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +15.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 77% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +47.4% vs +27.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CSX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CSX has crossed below its 200-week MA 29 times with an average 1-year return of +31.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1982 | Aug 1982 | 26 | 21.4% | +39.1% | +29056.1% |
| Sep 1982 | Oct 1982 | 3 | 7.9% | +80.4% | +29057.5% |
| Oct 1987 | Dec 1987 | 8 | 10.5% | +23.9% | +12596.3% |
| May 1988 | Jul 1988 | 9 | 7.4% | +28.8% | +12142.4% |
| Jul 1988 | Sep 1988 | 9 | 9.7% | +32.0% | +12146.3% |
| Aug 1990 | Aug 1990 | 1 | 4.6% | +83.3% | +10294.3% |
| Sep 1990 | Nov 1990 | 9 | 9.7% | +80.4% | +10312.5% |
| Jul 1998 | Apr 1999 | 41 | 17.2% | +13.2% | +2627.9% |
| Jun 1999 | Jun 1999 | 3 | 3.5% | -52.0% | +2527.8% |
| Aug 1999 | May 2001 | 89 | 53.0% | -42.3% | +2477.5% |
| Jun 2001 | Jul 2001 | 4 | 7.1% | +1.7% | +3150.0% |
| Sep 2001 | Nov 2001 | 9 | 19.3% | -13.8% | +3021.3% |
| Dec 2001 | Dec 2001 | 1 | 0.8% | -16.7% | +3098.7% |
| Sep 2002 | Apr 2003 | 32 | 18.7% | +8.4% | +3520.3% |
| Jun 2003 | Jun 2003 | 1 | 0.3% | +10.5% | +3436.9% |
| Sep 2003 | Sep 2003 | 1 | 0.7% | +17.5% | +3496.2% |
| Mar 2004 | May 2004 | 10 | 3.3% | +43.9% | +3402.5% |
| Jul 2004 | Aug 2004 | 5 | 3.7% | +47.1% | +3299.3% |
| Nov 2008 | Jul 2009 | 35 | 42.1% | +48.2% | +1380.9% |
| Dec 2015 | Apr 2016 | 19 | 15.1% | +48.7% | +449.6% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 4 | 5.7% | +105.2% | +436.4% |
| Jun 2016 | Jul 2016 | 3 | 3.5% | +108.8% | +442.2% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 11.7% | +84.4% | +163.9% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 4 | 3.4% | +17.0% | +59.7% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 0.4% | +34.0% | +49.6% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 1.0% | +15.4% | +43.5% |
| Dec 2024 | Dec 2024 | 1 | 0.7% | +16.4% | +29.5% |
| Jan 2025 | Jan 2025 | 1 | 1.0% | +12.5% | +29.8% |
| Feb 2025 | Jun 2025 | 14 | 14.9% | N/A | +28.9% |
| Average | 12 | — | +31.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02