CSWC

Capital Southwest Corporation Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →

NO
29.6% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 31.7% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $17.73
14-Week RSI 69
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.1x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.03

Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC) closed at $22.98 as of 2026-06-19, trading 29.6% above its 200-week moving average of $17.73. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 31.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 69, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.03 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 2365 weeks of data, CSWC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 27 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CSWC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +25.1%.

With a market cap of $1428 million, CSWC is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.9%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 11.9%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.

Share count has increased 67.9% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.

Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CSWC would have grown to $3202, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.9% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming CSWC as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: CSWC vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CSWC Crosses Below the Line?

Across 14 historical episodes, buying CSWC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +29.6% after 12 months (median -6.0%), compared to +13.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 43% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +42.9% vs +20.6% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CSWC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. CSWC currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.

Current Bean Score +0.54σ
Current FCF Yield -13.44%
Baseline Yield -14.17%
Historical σ 0.39pp

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from CSWC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation -0.81σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -0.17σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative -0.37σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -4.3pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity 57th TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +34.6pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Improving Accrual gap trend (-110.1pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

CSWC has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +25.1% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jul 1982Feb 19833017.6%+37.0%+23233.9%
Sep 1990Dec 1990126.8%+24.7%+6617.7%
Mar 1999Mar 199911.2%-26.2%+1419.8%
Sep 1999Mar 200212933.6%-15.1%+1375.8%
Jul 2002Jul 200211.6%-14.8%+1493.1%
Aug 2002May 20033727.0%-5.2%+1536.1%
May 2003Oct 2003239.3%+42.6%+1774.3%
Mar 2008Mar 200812.9%-39.9%+884.9%
Jun 2008Jul 200811.2%-28.6%+835.2%
Oct 2008Dec 201011146.4%-20.6%+881.7%
Jan 2011Jul 2011258.4%-15.6%+838.8%
Jul 2011Jan 20122720.4%+36.3%+895.5%
May 2012May 201211.2%+92.7%+958.3%
Mar 2020Aug 20202137.5%+99.6%+282.4%
Aug 2020Sep 202032.7%+116.5%+216.8%
Oct 2020Nov 202035.6%+117.6%+214.3%
Average27+25.1%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is CSWC below its 200-week moving average?

No. Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC) is currently 29.6% above its 200-week moving average of $17.73. It would need to fall to $17.73 to cross below the line.

What is CSWC's 200-week moving average price?

Capital Southwest Corporation's 200-week moving average is $17.73 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when CSWC drops below its 200-week moving average?

CSWC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +25.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 27 weeks on average.

Is CSWC a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about CSWC as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 69. Free cash flow yield is 6.9%. Return on equity is 11.9%. Price-to-book is 1.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does CSWC compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in CSWC would have grown to $3202, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 10.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. CSWC has outperformed the broader market over this period.

Does CSWC pay a dividend?

Yes. Capital Southwest Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 1102.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19