CSGS
CSG Systems International, Inc. Technology - Software - Infrastructure Investor Relations →
CSG Systems International, Inc. (CSGS) closed at $80.69 as of 2026-05-15, trading 43.9% above its 200-week moving average of $56.09. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 43.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 70, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.00 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1528 weeks of data, CSGS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CSGS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.7%.
With a market cap of $2.3 billion, CSGS is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.8%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 22.1%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 7.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.3% over the past three years.
Over the past 29.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CSGS would have grown to $1142, compared to $1582 for the S&P 500. CSGS has returned 8.7% annualized vs 9.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 74.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CSGS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CSGS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying CSGS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +12.6% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +18.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 62% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +45.1% vs +33.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CSGS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CSGS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CSGS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-05.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $79.50 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $81.05 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $82.66 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $84.34 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $86.08 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CSGS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CSGS has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +10.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1997 | May 1997 | 16 | 31.0% | +106.0% | +1034.9% |
| Oct 2001 | Dec 2001 | 8 | 18.5% | -61.1% | +215.8% |
| Jan 2002 | Jul 2005 | 184 | 76.2% | -57.1% | +203.0% |
| Oct 2007 | Jan 2010 | 121 | 49.4% | -26.7% | +409.1% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 3 | 4.4% | +3.9% | +491.8% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 3 | 4.3% | -21.2% | +498.1% |
| Aug 2011 | Jun 2012 | 47 | 24.3% | +16.0% | +596.8% |
| Oct 2018 | Feb 2019 | 17 | 17.6% | +47.9% | +163.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 4 | 8.1% | +21.5% | +125.2% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 5 | 4.3% | +19.6% | +125.8% |
| Aug 2020 | Nov 2020 | 10 | 9.4% | +21.8% | +124.0% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 2 | 2.3% | -11.4% | +74.4% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 5.3% | +3.7% | +82.7% |
| Jan 2024 | Feb 2024 | 1 | 3.0% | +25.5% | +76.3% |
| Apr 2024 | Nov 2024 | 31 | 18.9% | +20.8% | +73.1% |
| Jan 2025 | Jan 2025 | 1 | 0.9% | +62.7% | +65.8% |
| Average | 28 | — | +10.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSGS below its 200-week moving average?
No. CSG Systems International, Inc. (CSGS) is currently 43.9% above its 200-week moving average of $56.09. It would need to fall to $56.09 to cross below the line.
What is CSGS's 200-week moving average price?
CSG Systems International, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $56.09 as of 2026-05-15. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CSGS drops below its 200-week moving average?
CSGS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +10.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 28 weeks on average.
Is CSGS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CSGS as of 2026-05-15: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 70. Free cash flow yield is 7.8%. Return on equity is 22.1%. Price-to-book is 7.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CSGS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 29.3 years, $100 invested in CSGS would have grown to $1142, compared to $1582 for the S&P 500. That's 8.7% annualized vs 9.9% for the index. CSGS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CSGS pay a dividend?
Yes. CSG Systems International, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 1.69%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-15