CSCO

Cisco Systems Inc. Technology - Networking Investor Relations →

NO
63.0% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 51.0% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $52.05
14-Week RSI 70

Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) closed at $84.82 as of 2026-02-02, trading 63.0% above its 200-week moving average of $52.05. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 51.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 70, CSCO is in overbought territory.

Over the past 1829 weeks of data, CSCO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CSCO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.6%.

With a market cap of $335.1 billion, CSCO is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.7%. Return on equity stands at 22.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 7.1x book value.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CSCO would have grown to $10665, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.1% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming CSCO as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 1.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Growth of $100: CSCO vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CSCO Crosses Below the Line?

Across 26 historical episodes, buying CSCO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +13.8% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +12.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 65% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +14.8% vs +22.7% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CSCO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

CSCO has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +11.6% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Feb 2001Jan 200415371.4%-40.5%+365.1%
Jan 2004Mar 200498.6%-30.4%+409.9%
Apr 2004May 2004710.6%-23.5%+483.1%
Aug 2004Oct 20041211.9%-3.2%+557.7%
Jan 2005Feb 200554.4%+4.9%+632.3%
Mar 2005May 200574.1%+21.5%+636.4%
Aug 2005Sep 200544.0%+9.8%+636.4%
Sep 2005Jan 2006155.7%+26.8%+626.2%
Jul 2006Aug 200648.7%+66.6%+630.7%
Jul 2008Aug 200844.9%-15.9%+500.8%
Sep 2008Sep 200813.0%-1.9%+488.9%
Sep 2008Sep 20094937.8%+6.7%+516.9%
Sep 2009Oct 200921.6%-2.3%+479.5%
Oct 2009Nov 200911.5%+0.2%+474.7%
Jan 2010Feb 201024.0%-9.8%+470.7%
May 2010Feb 20129132.4%-29.3%+458.8%
Feb 2012Mar 201221.6%+7.9%+553.8%
Apr 2012Sep 20121818.9%+12.0%+573.1%
Sep 2012Dec 20121112.9%+33.6%+577.8%
Mar 2020Mar 202038.4%+34.3%+169.6%
Sep 2020Nov 2020911.0%+49.8%+150.1%
May 2022Aug 2022128.7%+18.3%+120.8%
Aug 2022Nov 20221213.9%+25.4%+104.7%
May 2024Jun 202442.7%+40.0%+91.5%
Jul 2024Jul 202411.0%+53.2%+90.6%
Jul 2024Aug 202423.3%+47.8%+88.9%
Average17+11.6%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02