CRUS
Cirrus Logic Inc. Technology - Semiconductors Investor Relations →
Cirrus Logic Inc. (CRUS) closed at $165.29 as of 2026-06-19, trading 59.4% above its 200-week moving average of $103.70. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 58.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 68, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.17 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1884 weeks of data, CRUS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 33 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CRUS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +20.3%.
With a market cap of $8.3 billion, CRUS is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.1%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 20.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 3.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.2% over the past three years. CRUS passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CRUS would have grown to $941, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. CRUS has returned 6.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 28% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CRUS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CRUS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 32 historical episodes, buying CRUS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +12.7% after 12 months (median +7.0%), compared to +8.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 55% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +32.9% vs +24.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CRUS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CRUS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CRUS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-04.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $150.54 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $159.12 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $168.74 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $179.60 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $191.95 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CRUS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CRUS has crossed below its 200-week MA 33 times with an average 1-year return of +20.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1990 | Nov 1990 | 16 | 24.8% | +51.0% | +2442.9% |
| Nov 1991 | Dec 1991 | 4 | 9.9% | +141.3% | +2326.3% |
| Apr 1993 | Jul 1993 | 12 | 13.8% | +110.2% | +1830.4% |
| Nov 1994 | Jan 1995 | 6 | 12.0% | +112.7% | +1196.4% |
| Mar 1996 | Apr 1996 | 7 | 8.1% | -25.0% | +831.2% |
| Jun 1996 | Oct 1996 | 18 | 28.4% | -40.1% | +747.6% |
| Oct 1996 | Nov 1996 | 1 | 4.9% | -19.9% | +775.7% |
| Nov 1996 | Nov 1999 | 154 | 67.6% | -32.5% | +742.2% |
| Dec 1999 | Dec 1999 | 1 | 1.0% | +61.5% | +1222.3% |
| Jan 2000 | Jan 2000 | 1 | 3.8% | +74.6% | +1270.3% |
| Apr 2001 | Apr 2001 | 2 | 25.3% | +54.1% | +1394.1% |
| Aug 2001 | Jan 2002 | 21 | 57.9% | -66.5% | +1079.8% |
| Feb 2002 | Feb 2002 | 1 | 4.0% | -81.8% | +998.3% |
| Apr 2002 | Jul 2005 | 171 | 89.3% | -85.4% | +1040.7% |
| Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 2 | 1.9% | +8.4% | +2466.6% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 1 | 0.3% | -19.4% | +2295.5% |
| Aug 2007 | Mar 2008 | 31 | 36.8% | -13.4% | +2299.0% |
| Apr 2008 | Apr 2008 | 1 | 2.7% | -39.2% | +2470.6% |
| Apr 2008 | Nov 2009 | 83 | 63.9% | -21.5% | +2725.5% |
| Apr 2013 | Apr 2013 | 2 | 3.0% | +7.2% | +830.2% |
| May 2013 | Jul 2013 | 10 | 8.8% | +27.1% | +852.1% |
| Nov 2013 | Apr 2014 | 23 | 17.6% | -2.8% | +738.6% |
| Sep 2014 | Dec 2014 | 13 | 19.3% | +31.6% | +644.5% |
| Mar 2018 | Aug 2018 | 21 | 12.6% | +2.7% | +306.1% |
| Sep 2018 | Apr 2019 | 31 | 27.0% | +27.4% | +284.5% |
| May 2019 | Jul 2019 | 9 | 16.7% | +55.4% | +291.7% |
| Sep 2022 | Nov 2022 | 6 | 7.8% | +7.5% | +140.2% |
| Jun 2023 | Jun 2023 | 3 | 5.1% | +53.0% | +115.1% |
| Jul 2023 | Jul 2023 | 1 | 0.5% | +73.2% | +112.3% |
| Aug 2023 | Dec 2023 | 17 | 15.8% | +80.9% | +111.4% |
| Jan 2024 | Jan 2024 | 2 | 1.2% | +29.6% | +112.5% |
| Jan 2024 | Feb 2024 | 1 | 3.1% | +31.0% | +115.5% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 7.4% | +76.8% | +98.6% |
| Average | 20 | — | +20.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRUS below its 200-week moving average?
No. Cirrus Logic Inc. (CRUS) is currently 59.4% above its 200-week moving average of $103.70. It would need to fall to $103.70 to cross below the line.
What is CRUS's 200-week moving average price?
Cirrus Logic Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $103.70 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CRUS drops below its 200-week moving average?
CRUS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 33 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +20.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is CRUS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CRUS as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 68. Free cash flow yield is 6.1%. Return on equity is 20.3%. Price-to-book is 3.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CRUS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in CRUS would have grown to $941, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 6.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. CRUS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19