CRTO
Criteo S.A. Communication Services - Advertising Agencies Investor Relations →
Criteo S.A. (CRTO) closed at $19.19 as of 2026-02-02, trading 36.7% below its 200-week moving average of $30.32. This places CRTO in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -36.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 31, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 592 weeks of data, CRTO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CRTO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.2%.
With a market cap of $982 million, CRTO is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 19.4%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 15.5%, a solid level. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 10.5% over the past three years. CRTO passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 11.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CRTO would have grown to $62, compared to $415 for the S&P 500. CRTO has returned -4.0% annualized vs 13.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 2.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: CRTO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CRTO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying CRTO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.0% after 12 months (median +10.0%), compared to +15.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 73% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -2.8% vs +35.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CRTO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CRTO has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +10.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2014 | Nov 2014 | 4 | 14.4% | +29.8% | -39.1% |
| Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | 2 | 7.3% | +6.8% | -46.9% |
| Sep 2015 | Oct 2015 | 1 | 1.3% | -8.8% | -50.2% |
| Oct 2015 | Nov 2015 | 4 | 5.8% | -3.3% | -49.6% |
| Dec 2015 | Dec 2015 | 1 | 0.2% | +4.3% | -50.8% |
| Jan 2016 | Mar 2016 | 10 | 28.6% | +25.7% | -43.8% |
| Aug 2016 | Oct 2016 | 11 | 14.4% | +34.1% | -46.8% |
| Nov 2016 | Dec 2016 | 1 | 1.1% | -16.1% | -50.4% |
| Oct 2017 | Feb 2021 | 170 | 77.5% | -41.4% | -49.1% |
| Jul 2022 | Jul 2022 | 3 | 7.5% | +41.0% | -18.9% |
| Oct 2023 | Feb 2024 | 14 | 13.4% | +39.9% | -19.7% |
| Mar 2025 | Ongoing | 45+ | 36.8% | Ongoing | -36.2% |
| Average | 22 | — | +10.2% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02