CRS

Carpenter Technology Corporation Industrials - Metal Fabrication Investor Relations →

NO
194.2% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 159.4% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $124.08
14-Week RSI 65

Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) closed at $365.11 as of 2026-02-02, trading 194.2% above its 200-week moving average of $124.08. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 159.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 65, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 2715 weeks of data, CRS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CRS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.8%.

With a market cap of $18.2 billion, CRS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.4%. Return on equity stands at 23.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 9.2x book value.

Share count has increased 2.9% over three years, indicating dilution. CRS passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CRS would have grown to $6402, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.4% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming CRS as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: CRS vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CRS Crosses Below the Line?

Across 19 historical episodes, buying CRS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.7% after 12 months (median +3.0%), compared to +7.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +82.9% vs +26.4% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CRS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

CRS has crossed below its 200-week MA 35 times with an average 1-year return of +14.8% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Apr 1974Jul 1974129.3%-0.5%+35581.9%
Jul 1974Apr 19753832.8%N/A+35957.4%
May 1975Jul 197599.2%+40.9%+37750.4%
Jul 1975Jul 197511.0%+39.6%+37542.4%
Sep 1975Jan 19761510.7%+48.9%+37542.4%
Feb 1982Feb 198223.2%+10.9%+12311.1%
Mar 1982Apr 198255.4%+16.7%+12311.1%
May 1982Nov 19822421.2%+24.5%+12221.8%
Dec 1982Dec 198223.4%+44.2%+12004.1%
Jul 1984Aug 1984510.8%+4.3%+11242.6%
Oct 1984Jan 19851512.4%-7.9%+10343.5%
Mar 1985Jul 19851813.5%-9.1%+11057.8%
Jul 1985Feb 19877927.6%-27.5%+10472.4%
Mar 1987Mar 198711.2%+20.2%+10745.0%
Oct 1987Dec 198766.0%+30.9%+11382.0%
Oct 1990Dec 1990911.9%+23.0%+8555.0%
Dec 1991Dec 199110.5%+19.6%+7731.3%
Jul 1992Aug 199252.4%+30.5%+7628.3%
Oct 1992Oct 199211.1%+24.8%+7456.4%
Aug 1998Nov 200011741.0%-31.5%+3522.7%
Jan 2001Mar 20026328.8%-14.3%+3572.3%
Jul 2002Sep 20035956.3%-32.2%+4475.5%
Sep 2003Sep 200311.4%+117.8%+4891.1%
Jun 2008Nov 201012872.0%-52.2%+1007.3%
Sep 2014Nov 2014616.4%-35.0%+854.8%
Nov 2014Sep 201714646.8%-28.2%+781.0%
Dec 2018Jan 2019513.5%+36.6%+938.5%
May 2019Jun 201910.4%-41.1%+912.3%
Jan 2020Feb 20215765.8%-16.0%+846.9%
Apr 2021May 202115.1%+3.3%+931.8%
Jun 2021Feb 20223226.3%-28.1%+895.3%
Feb 2022Mar 202226.0%+45.0%+941.3%
May 2022Aug 20221426.5%+47.5%+996.4%
Aug 2022Sep 202215.9%+100.5%+1056.4%
Sep 2022Oct 202249.9%+110.6%+1032.1%
Average25+14.8%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02