CROX
Crocs Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Footwear Investor Relations →
Crocs Inc. (CROX) closed at $85.81 as of 2026-02-02, trading 16.2% below its 200-week moving average of $102.36. This places CROX in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -18.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 55, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 995 weeks of data, CROX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 35 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CROX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +54.0%.
With a market cap of $4.7 billion, CROX is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 11.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 11.8%. The stock trades at 3.3x book value.
Over the past 19.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CROX would have grown to $313, compared to $683 for the S&P 500. CROX has returned 6.1% annualized vs 10.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 21.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: CROX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CROX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying CROX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +31.0% after 12 months (median +13.0%), compared to +13.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +38.6% vs +36.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CROX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CROX has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +54.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 1 | 0.3% | -95.4% | +196.5% |
| Feb 2008 | Nov 2010 | 144 | 95.6% | -95.5% | +237.4% |
| Jan 2011 | Jan 2011 | 2 | 2.9% | +14.3% | +437.3% |
| Oct 2012 | Dec 2012 | 8 | 10.4% | +7.5% | +574.1% |
| Jul 2013 | Dec 2017 | 229 | 49.5% | +18.4% | +525.0% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 38.5% | +616.9% | +696.8% |
| May 2022 | Jul 2022 | 10 | 20.5% | +97.8% | +47.1% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 2.0% | +68.7% | +3.7% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 2 | 6.5% | +26.5% | +2.2% |
| Jan 2024 | Jan 2024 | 1 | 1.5% | +28.2% | -0.8% |
| Oct 2024 | Dec 2024 | 5 | 9.4% | -23.1% | -19.2% |
| Jan 2025 | May 2025 | 16 | 17.3% | -16.9% | -14.2% |
| May 2025 | Ongoing | 38+ | 29.7% | Ongoing | -20.8% |
| Average | 35 | — | +54.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02