CRMT
America's Car-Mart, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Auto & Truck Dealerships Investor Relations →
America's Car-Mart, Inc. (CRMT) closed at $2.40 as of 2026-06-19, trading 95.8% below its 200-week moving average of $56.78. This places CRMT in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -96.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 25, CRMT is in oversold territory.
A big jump in activity this week — 3.1x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 2001 weeks of data, CRMT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 35 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CRMT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +57.1%.
With a market cap of $20 million, CRMT is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 242.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -18.2%. The stock trades at 0.0x book value.
Share count has increased 29.7% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CRMT would have grown to $960, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. CRMT has returned 7.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CRMT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CRMT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying CRMT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +64.5% after 12 months (median +23.0%), compared to +17.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +64.7% vs +32.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CRMT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CRMT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CRMT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-01-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $9.03 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $11.48 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $15.75 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $25.09 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $61.64 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CRMT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CRMT has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +57.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1988 | Oct 1988 | 37 | 62.3% | +80.0% | +476.0% |
| Nov 1988 | Sep 1989 | 41 | 25.8% | +10.0% | +188.0% |
| Oct 1989 | Nov 1989 | 4 | 4.1% | -50.0% | +188.0% |
| Dec 1989 | Mar 1990 | 15 | 22.8% | -50.0% | +188.0% |
| Jul 1990 | May 1993 | 146 | 67.5% | -61.1% | +220.0% |
| May 1993 | May 1993 | 1 | 2.5% | +833.3% | +380.0% |
| Oct 1995 | Apr 1998 | 130 | 59.7% | -11.5% | +10.8% |
| Aug 1998 | Sep 1998 | 3 | 6.0% | +57.7% | +10.8% |
| Jan 2001 | Nov 2001 | 44 | 21.0% | +57.4% | -5.6% |
| Nov 2005 | Nov 2005 | 3 | 8.6% | -9.4% | -84.5% |
| Jul 2006 | Jun 2008 | 103 | 42.5% | -21.2% | -86.1% |
| Oct 2008 | Mar 2009 | 25 | 50.9% | +55.7% | -84.1% |
| May 2009 | May 2009 | 2 | 2.0% | +76.6% | -83.6% |
| Feb 2014 | Jun 2014 | 18 | 3.4% | +50.6% | -93.3% |
| Jul 2014 | Aug 2014 | 4 | 3.9% | +22.3% | -93.4% |
| Aug 2015 | Aug 2016 | 53 | 49.7% | -3.2% | -93.7% |
| Sep 2016 | Oct 2016 | 6 | 9.2% | +0.1% | -93.8% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 5.9% | +10.7% | -93.6% |
| Feb 2017 | Aug 2017 | 28 | 20.2% | +19.0% | -93.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 6 | 34.5% | +286.0% | -94.1% |
| Jan 2022 | May 2022 | 18 | 21.7% | -19.8% | -97.5% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 6.0% | +1.0% | -97.5% |
| Jul 2022 | Jul 2022 | 2 | 9.0% | -0.1% | -97.6% |
| Aug 2022 | Jul 2023 | 47 | 41.4% | +35.6% | -97.0% |
| Sep 2023 | Ongoing | 146+ | 96.3% | Ongoing | -97.5% |
| Average | 35 | — | +57.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRMT below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, America's Car-Mart, Inc. (CRMT) is trading 95.8% below its 200-week moving average of $56.78. The current price is $2.40.
What is CRMT's 200-week moving average price?
America's Car-Mart, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $56.78 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CRMT drops below its 200-week moving average?
CRMT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +57.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 35 weeks on average.
Is CRMT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CRMT as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 25 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 242.1%. Return on equity is -18.2%. Price-to-book is 0.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CRMT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in CRMT would have grown to $960, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 7.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. CRMT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19