CRH
CRH plc Basic Materials Investor Relations →
CRH plc (CRH) closed at $95.01 as of 2026-07-31, trading 17.3% above its 200-week moving average of $81.01. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 23.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 29, CRH is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.05 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1885 weeks of data, CRH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CRH at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +18.8%.
With a market cap of $63.2 billion, CRH is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.4%. Return on equity stands at 15.8%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 10.2% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CRH would have grown to $7641, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.8% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming CRH as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 8.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CRH vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CRH Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying CRH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +21.8% after 12 months (median +25.0%), compared to +5.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +39.8% vs +17.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CRH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CRH would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CRH's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $86.55 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $94.04 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $102.95 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $113.73 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $127.02 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CRH's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CRH has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +18.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1990 | Nov 1990 | 7 | 7.5% | +8.6% | +6639.9% |
| Jan 1991 | Feb 1991 | 4 | 6.3% | -0.7% | +6382.4% |
| Jun 1991 | Feb 1992 | 36 | 6.2% | +10.3% | +6177.3% |
| Mar 1992 | Mar 1992 | 1 | 3.1% | -4.6% | +6226.1% |
| Oct 1992 | Apr 1993 | 24 | 22.4% | +55.2% | +7362.0% |
| Oct 2000 | Oct 2000 | 3 | 8.4% | +33.6% | +1466.1% |
| Nov 2000 | Dec 2000 | 3 | 9.9% | +19.1% | +1374.7% |
| Mar 2001 | Mar 2001 | 1 | 0.3% | +27.1% | +1293.7% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 2 | 11.0% | +2.6% | +1363.7% |
| Oct 2001 | Nov 2001 | 3 | 4.2% | -12.3% | +1205.5% |
| Jan 2002 | Jan 2002 | 1 | 0.7% | -20.3% | +1170.9% |
| Jul 2002 | Apr 2003 | 40 | 30.7% | +21.3% | +1179.8% |
| Jun 2003 | Jun 2003 | 1 | 2.0% | +38.5% | +1167.8% |
| Jun 2008 | Apr 2010 | 97 | 44.1% | -8.5% | +468.5% |
| May 2010 | Apr 2011 | 50 | 43.1% | +8.0% | +557.1% |
| May 2011 | Feb 2012 | 41 | 33.5% | -15.7% | +508.7% |
| Apr 2012 | Sep 2012 | 23 | 18.2% | +13.8% | +614.2% |
| Sep 2012 | Dec 2012 | 12 | 11.3% | +30.7% | +611.2% |
| Oct 2018 | Feb 2019 | 19 | 18.2% | +14.5% | +284.4% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 11 | 37.5% | +78.0% | +304.0% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 6 | 3.9% | +53.4% | +188.7% |
| Aug 2022 | Oct 2022 | 9 | 13.2% | +61.1% | +181.9% |
| Average | 18 | — | +18.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRH below its 200-week moving average?
No. CRH plc (CRH) is currently 17.3% above its 200-week moving average of $81.01. It would need to fall to $81.01 to cross below the line.
What is CRH's 200-week moving average price?
CRH plc's 200-week moving average is $81.01 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CRH drops below its 200-week moving average?
CRH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +18.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is CRH a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CRH as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 29 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 3.4%. Return on equity is 15.8%. Price-to-book is 2.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CRH compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in CRH would have grown to $7641, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 13.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. CRH has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CRH pay a dividend?
Yes. CRH plc currently pays a dividend yield of 164.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31