CRGY
Crescent Energy Company Energy - Oil & Gas E&P Investor Relations →
Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) closed at $10.44 as of 2026-06-19, trading 1.0% below its 200-week moving average of $10.55. This places CRGY in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 9.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 43, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.00 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 188 weeks of data, CRGY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 23 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CRGY at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +1.4%.
With a market cap of $3.4 billion, CRGY is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 18.2%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -5.7%. The stock trades at 0.7x book value.
Share count has increased 579.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 3.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CRGY would have grown to $92, compared to $192 for the S&P 500. CRGY has returned -2.3% annualized vs 19.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CRGY vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CRGY Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying CRGY when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +21.8% after 12 months (median +7.0%), compared to +21.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -0.5% vs +50.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CRGY crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CRGY would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CRGY's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-03.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $11.25 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $11.79 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $12.38 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $13.04 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $13.77 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CRGY's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CRGY has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +1.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2022 | Aug 2023 | 38 | 27.2% | -13.9% | -11.9% |
| Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | 14 | 18.0% | -10.8% | -5.3% |
| Jan 2024 | May 2024 | 20 | 16.7% | +29.4% | -3.7% |
| Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | 16 | 13.9% | -14.1% | -4.1% |
| Mar 2025 | Feb 2026 | 51 | 35.6% | +16.2% | +5.2% |
| Jun 2026 | Ongoing | 1+ | 1.0% | Ongoing | N/A |
| Average | 23 | — | +1.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRGY below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) is trading 1.0% below its 200-week moving average of $10.55. The current price is $10.44.
What is CRGY's 200-week moving average price?
Crescent Energy Company's 200-week moving average is $10.55 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CRGY drops below its 200-week moving average?
CRGY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +1.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 23 weeks on average.
Is CRGY a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CRGY as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 43. Free cash flow yield is 18.2%. Return on equity is -5.7%. Price-to-book is 0.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CRGY compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 3.7 years, $100 invested in CRGY would have grown to $92, compared to $192 for the S&P 500. That's -2.3% annualized vs 19.5% for the index. CRGY has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CRGY pay a dividend?
Yes. Crescent Energy Company currently pays a dividend yield of 444.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19