CQP
Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. Energy - Oil & Gas Midstream Investor Relations →
Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. (CQP) closed at $64.86 as of 2026-09-18, trading 31.9% above its 200-week moving average of $49.18. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 38.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 55, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.70 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 969 weeks of data, CQP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CQP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.7%.
With a market cap of $31.4 billion, CQP is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 1516.9%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 8.5x book value.
Over the past 18.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CQP would have grown to $1727, compared to $801 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.5% vs 11.8% for the index — confirming CQP as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -11.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CQP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CQP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying CQP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +20.5% after 12 months (median +36.0%), compared to +10.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +60.0% vs +37.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CQP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CQP would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CQP's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-29.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $54.02 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $57.57 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $61.61 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $66.27 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $71.69 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | $1.01 | $1.30 | +28.6% |
| 2026-05-07 | $1.22 | $1.71 | +40.1% |
| 2026-02-26 | $1.11 | $1.36 | +22.2% |
| 2025-10-30 | $1.11 | $1.09 | -1.8% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CQP's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CQP has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +10.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2008 | Sep 2009 | 80 | 68.0% | -47.8% | +1626.7% |
| Nov 2015 | Dec 2015 | 5 | 14.0% | +20.9% | +420.5% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 7 | 16.8% | +23.2% | +414.4% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 7 | 28.8% | +46.5% | +229.3% |
| Average | 25 | — | +10.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CQP below its 200-week moving average?
No. Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. (CQP) is currently 31.9% above its 200-week moving average of $49.18. It would need to fall to $49.18 to cross below the line.
What is CQP's 200-week moving average price?
Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P.'s 200-week moving average is $49.18 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CQP drops below its 200-week moving average?
CQP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +10.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.
Is CQP a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CQP as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 55. Free cash flow yield is 7.0%. Return on equity is 1516.9%. Price-to-book is 8.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CQP compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 18.7 years, $100 invested in CQP would have grown to $1727, compared to $801 for the S&P 500. That's 16.5% annualized vs 11.8% for the index. CQP has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CQP pay a dividend?
Yes. Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. currently pays a dividend yield of 490.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18