CPK

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation Utilities - Utilities - Regulated Gas Investor Relations →

NO
5.4% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 7.3% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $114.47
14-Week RSI 37
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.2x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.92

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) closed at $120.60 as of 2026-06-19, trading 5.4% above its 200-week moving average of $114.47. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 7.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 37, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.92 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 2365 weeks of data, CPK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 8 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CPK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +18.9%.

With a market cap of $2.9 billion, CPK is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 9.6%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.

Share count has increased 34.0% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CPK would have grown to $4589, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.1% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming CPK as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: CPK vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CPK Crosses Below the Line?

Across 14 historical episodes, buying CPK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.4% after 12 months (median +10.0%), compared to +20.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +37.0% vs +30.8% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CPK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. CPK currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.

Current Bean Score -1.36σ
Current FCF Yield -7.07%
Baseline Yield -6.76%
Historical σ 0.29pp

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from CPK's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation +1.39σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score +0.98σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -6.0pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History -6.0pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+21.8pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

CPK has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +18.9% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Sep 1981Oct 198133.0%+3.3%+26359.1%
Jul 1982Oct 19821310.9%+39.1%+24705.4%
Dec 1982Dec 198220.9%+96.9%+24705.4%
Apr 1989Apr 198911.3%-9.0%+5934.5%
May 1989Jul 1989119.7%-5.3%+6048.3%
Aug 1989Aug 198911.9%-8.9%+5836.0%
Oct 1989Dec 19906318.9%-6.5%+5744.6%
Feb 1991Feb 199113.8%+18.3%+5910.7%
Mar 1991Mar 199113.6%+18.3%+5910.7%
Apr 1991Apr 199111.8%+6.0%+5807.3%
May 1991May 199123.7%+7.1%+5933.0%
Jun 1991Jun 199115.5%+9.4%+6064.2%
Jun 1991Jul 199155.5%+18.6%+5957.1%
Apr 1999Apr 199911.9%+18.2%+2821.3%
May 2008Jul 20081010.3%+13.0%+912.0%
Oct 2008Oct 200816.4%+20.6%+947.9%
Nov 2008Nov 200821.5%+14.0%+890.1%
Jan 2009Jan 200923.1%+17.0%+881.7%
Feb 2009Mar 2009517.4%+15.9%+912.7%
May 2010May 201011.1%+50.2%+826.6%
Sep 2020Sep 202037.4%+70.0%+76.3%
Aug 2023Jul 20244621.8%+9.7%+16.6%
Average8+18.9%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is CPK below its 200-week moving average?

No. Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) is currently 5.4% above its 200-week moving average of $114.47. It would need to fall to $114.47 to cross below the line.

What is CPK's 200-week moving average price?

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation's 200-week moving average is $114.47 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when CPK drops below its 200-week moving average?

CPK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +18.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 8 weeks on average.

Is CPK a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about CPK as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 37. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 9.6%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does CPK compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in CPK would have grown to $4589, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 12.1% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. CPK has outperformed the broader market over this period.

Does CPK pay a dividend?

Yes. Chesapeake Utilities Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 241.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19