CPK
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation Utilities - Utilities - Regulated Gas Investor Relations →
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) closed at $132.78 as of 2026-07-31, trading 15.5% above its 200-week moving average of $114.94. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 18.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 60, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.42 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2371 weeks of data, CPK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 8 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CPK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +18.8%.
With a market cap of $3.2 billion, CPK is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 9.6%. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
Share count has increased 34.0% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CPK would have grown to $5053, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.4% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming CPK as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CPK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CPK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying CPK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.4% after 12 months (median +10.0%), compared to +20.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +37.0% vs +30.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CPK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. CPK currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CPK's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CPK has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +18.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1981 | Oct 1981 | 3 | 3.0% | +3.3% | +29031.3% |
| Jul 1982 | Oct 1982 | 13 | 10.9% | +39.1% | +27210.6% |
| Dec 1982 | Dec 1982 | 2 | 0.9% | +96.9% | +27210.6% |
| Apr 1989 | Apr 1989 | 1 | 1.4% | -9.0% | +6543.9% |
| May 1989 | Jul 1989 | 11 | 9.6% | -5.3% | +6669.3% |
| Aug 1989 | Aug 1989 | 1 | 2.0% | -8.9% | +6435.5% |
| Oct 1989 | Dec 1990 | 63 | 19.0% | -6.5% | +6334.8% |
| Feb 1991 | Feb 1991 | 1 | 3.9% | +18.3% | +6517.8% |
| Mar 1991 | Mar 1991 | 1 | 2.0% | +16.3% | +6403.9% |
| Apr 1991 | Apr 1991 | 1 | 1.9% | +6.0% | +6403.9% |
| May 1991 | May 1991 | 2 | 3.8% | +7.1% | +6542.3% |
| Jun 1991 | Jun 1991 | 1 | 3.9% | +9.3% | +6568.8% |
| Jun 1991 | Jul 1991 | 5 | 5.6% | +18.6% | +6568.8% |
| Apr 1999 | Apr 1999 | 1 | 2.1% | +18.2% | +3116.3% |
| May 2008 | Jul 2008 | 10 | 10.4% | +13.0% | +1014.2% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 1 | 6.4% | +20.6% | +1053.8% |
| Nov 2008 | Nov 2008 | 2 | 1.5% | +14.0% | +990.1% |
| Jan 2009 | Jan 2009 | 2 | 3.2% | +17.0% | +980.8% |
| Feb 2009 | Mar 2009 | 5 | 17.4% | +15.9% | +1015.0% |
| May 2010 | May 2010 | 1 | 1.2% | +50.2% | +920.1% |
| Sep 2020 | Sep 2020 | 3 | 6.9% | +70.0% | +94.1% |
| Aug 2023 | Jul 2024 | 46 | 21.8% | +9.7% | +28.4% |
| Average | 8 | — | +18.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPK below its 200-week moving average?
No. Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) is currently 15.5% above its 200-week moving average of $114.94. It would need to fall to $114.94 to cross below the line.
What is CPK's 200-week moving average price?
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation's 200-week moving average is $114.94 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CPK drops below its 200-week moving average?
CPK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +18.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 8 weeks on average.
Is CPK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CPK as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 60. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 9.6%. Price-to-book is 1.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CPK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in CPK would have grown to $5053, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 12.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. CPK has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CPK pay a dividend?
Yes. Chesapeake Utilities Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 221.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31