CPB
Campbell Soup Company Consumer Staples - Food Investor Relations →
Campbell Soup Company (CPB) closed at $21.15 as of 2026-06-19, trading 43.3% below its 200-week moving average of $37.28. This places CPB in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -39.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.8x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 2734 weeks of data, CPB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CPB at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.3%.
With a market cap of $6.3 billion, CPB is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 9.6%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 15.4%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CPB would have grown to $275, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. CPB has returned 3.1% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -9.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CPB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CPB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 21 historical episodes, buying CPB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -4.6% after 12 months (median -4.0%), compared to +7.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 43% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +2.2% vs +17.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CPB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CPB would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CPB's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-01-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $18.99 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $20.94 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $23.33 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $26.34 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $30.23 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CPB's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CPB has crossed below its 200-week MA 35 times with an average 1-year return of +7.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1974 | Jan 1975 | 35 | 26.3% | -3.1% | +3283.1% |
| Feb 1975 | Feb 1975 | 1 | 0.7% | +13.2% | +3450.9% |
| Mar 1975 | May 1975 | 6 | 5.3% | +14.0% | +3541.2% |
| Sep 1975 | Oct 1975 | 6 | 6.5% | +7.9% | +3465.6% |
| May 1976 | May 1976 | 1 | 3.4% | +27.1% | +3480.5% |
| May 1976 | Jun 1976 | 4 | 0.7% | +23.1% | +3379.0% |
| Jan 1978 | Feb 1978 | 7 | 3.3% | +8.6% | +3269.9% |
| Mar 1978 | Apr 1978 | 5 | 4.6% | +1.9% | +3179.8% |
| Oct 1978 | Oct 1978 | 1 | 0.2% | -8.8% | +3059.3% |
| Nov 1978 | Jan 1979 | 8 | 6.6% | -14.8% | +3082.7% |
| Feb 1979 | Jan 1982 | 152 | 23.1% | -11.6% | +3118.4% |
| Feb 1982 | Feb 1982 | 1 | 1.3% | +48.0% | +3365.0% |
| Mar 1982 | Mar 1982 | 1 | 1.7% | +47.0% | +3379.0% |
| Jul 1988 | Jul 1988 | 3 | 1.3% | +115.8% | +916.7% |
| Jun 1994 | Jul 1994 | 4 | 4.9% | +45.8% | +217.1% |
| Apr 1999 | Apr 1999 | 1 | 2.6% | -27.3% | +20.1% |
| May 1999 | May 1999 | 1 | 0.7% | -28.2% | +16.7% |
| Sep 1999 | Oct 1999 | 7 | 9.1% | -33.4% | +14.5% |
| Dec 1999 | Sep 2003 | 196 | 40.7% | -19.9% | +13.5% |
| Nov 2003 | Nov 2003 | 1 | 1.1% | +11.2% | +66.4% |
| Jan 2008 | Feb 2008 | 3 | 1.2% | -0.3% | +22.0% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 0.0% | -13.6% | +20.5% |
| Jun 2008 | Jun 2008 | 1 | 0.0% | -5.4% | +17.5% |
| Nov 2008 | Nov 2009 | 50 | 23.7% | +13.5% | +16.5% |
| Feb 2010 | Feb 2010 | 1 | 0.3% | +9.4% | +10.3% |
| Aug 2011 | Sep 2011 | 7 | 4.7% | +12.4% | +11.2% |
| Aug 2017 | Sep 2019 | 106 | 32.1% | -10.3% | -36.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 0.9% | +18.6% | -40.0% |
| Aug 2021 | Aug 2021 | 1 | 1.1% | +26.6% | -38.8% |
| Sep 2021 | Dec 2021 | 10 | 3.7% | +17.3% | -39.0% |
| Jul 2023 | Jan 2024 | 25 | 12.8% | +12.5% | -47.3% |
| Feb 2024 | Apr 2024 | 10 | 6.7% | -7.6% | -44.3% |
| Jun 2024 | Jun 2024 | 2 | 2.6% | -16.7% | -45.9% |
| Nov 2024 | Nov 2024 | 1 | 1.7% | -24.2% | -47.1% |
| Dec 2024 | Ongoing | 81+ | 47.1% | Ongoing | -46.6% |
| Average | 21 | — | +7.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPB below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is trading 43.3% below its 200-week moving average of $37.28. The current price is $21.15.
What is CPB's 200-week moving average price?
Campbell Soup Company's 200-week moving average is $37.28 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CPB drops below its 200-week moving average?
CPB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +7.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 21 weeks on average.
Is CPB a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CPB as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 49. Free cash flow yield is 9.6%. Return on equity is 15.4%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CPB compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in CPB would have grown to $275, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 3.1% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. CPB has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CPB pay a dividend?
Yes. Campbell Soup Company currently pays a dividend yield of 717.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19