CPB
Campbell Soup Company Consumer Staples - Food Investor Relations →
Campbell Soup Company (CPB) closed at $20.69 as of 2026-09-18, trading 41.6% below its 200-week moving average of $35.40. This places CPB in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -40.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 42, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.70 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2747 weeks of data, CPB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CPB at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.3%.
With a market cap of $6.2 billion, CPB is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 12.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 10.1%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CPB would have grown to $273, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. CPB has returned 3.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -9.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CPB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CPB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 21 historical episodes, buying CPB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -4.6% after 12 months (median -4.0%), compared to +7.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 43% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +2.6% vs +17.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CPB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CPB would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CPB's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-04-30).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $15.84 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $17.66 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $19.94 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $22.91 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $26.92 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | $0.39 | $0.39 | +0.7% |
| 2026-06-08 | $0.48 | $0.50 | +4.5% |
| 2026-03-11 | $0.57 | $0.51 | -10.6% |
| 2025-12-09 | $0.73 | $0.77 | +5.0% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from CPB's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
CPB has crossed below its 200-week MA 35 times with an average 1-year return of +7.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1974 | Jan 1975 | 35 | 26.3% | -3.1% | +3265.5% |
| Feb 1975 | Feb 1975 | 1 | 0.7% | +13.2% | +3432.4% |
| Mar 1975 | May 1975 | 6 | 5.3% | +14.0% | +3522.2% |
| Sep 1975 | Oct 1975 | 6 | 6.5% | +7.9% | +3447.0% |
| May 1976 | May 1976 | 1 | 3.5% | +27.1% | +3461.8% |
| May 1976 | Jun 1976 | 4 | 0.7% | +23.1% | +3360.9% |
| Jan 1978 | Feb 1978 | 7 | 3.3% | +8.6% | +3252.3% |
| Mar 1978 | Apr 1978 | 5 | 4.6% | +1.9% | +3162.7% |
| Oct 1978 | Oct 1978 | 1 | 0.2% | -8.8% | +3042.8% |
| Nov 1978 | Jan 1979 | 8 | 6.6% | -14.8% | +3066.0% |
| Feb 1979 | Jan 1982 | 152 | 23.1% | -11.6% | +3101.6% |
| Feb 1982 | Feb 1982 | 1 | 1.3% | +48.0% | +3346.9% |
| Mar 1982 | Mar 1982 | 1 | 1.7% | +47.0% | +3360.9% |
| Jul 1988 | Jul 1988 | 3 | 1.3% | +115.8% | +911.4% |
| Jun 1994 | Jul 1994 | 4 | 4.9% | +45.8% | +215.5% |
| Apr 1999 | Apr 1999 | 1 | 2.1% | -27.2% | +18.8% |
| May 1999 | May 1999 | 1 | 0.8% | -28.2% | +16.1% |
| Sep 1999 | Oct 1999 | 7 | 9.2% | -33.4% | +13.9% |
| Dec 1999 | Sep 2003 | 196 | 40.7% | -19.9% | +12.9% |
| Nov 2003 | Nov 2003 | 1 | 1.2% | +11.2% | +65.6% |
| Jan 2008 | Feb 2008 | 3 | 1.2% | -0.3% | +21.3% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 0.1% | -13.6% | +19.9% |
| Jun 2008 | Jun 2008 | 1 | 0.1% | -5.4% | +16.9% |
| Nov 2008 | Nov 2009 | 50 | 23.7% | +13.5% | +15.9% |
| Feb 2010 | Feb 2010 | 1 | 0.4% | +9.4% | +9.7% |
| Aug 2011 | Sep 2011 | 7 | 4.8% | +12.4% | +10.6% |
| Aug 2017 | Sep 2019 | 106 | 32.1% | -10.3% | -36.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 0.9% | +18.6% | -40.3% |
| Aug 2021 | Aug 2021 | 1 | 1.2% | +26.6% | -39.1% |
| Sep 2021 | Dec 2021 | 10 | 3.7% | +17.3% | -39.3% |
| Jul 2023 | Jan 2024 | 25 | 12.0% | +12.5% | -47.5% |
| Feb 2024 | Apr 2024 | 10 | 6.7% | -7.6% | -44.6% |
| Jun 2024 | Jun 2024 | 2 | 2.7% | -16.7% | -46.2% |
| Nov 2024 | Nov 2024 | 1 | 1.7% | -24.2% | -47.4% |
| Dec 2024 | Ongoing | 94+ | 47.1% | Ongoing | -46.9% |
| Average | 22 | — | +7.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPB below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is trading 41.6% below its 200-week moving average of $35.40. The current price is $20.69.
What is CPB's 200-week moving average price?
Campbell Soup Company's 200-week moving average is $35.40 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CPB drops below its 200-week moving average?
CPB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +7.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.
Is CPB a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CPB as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 42. Free cash flow yield is 12.1%. Return on equity is 10.1%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CPB compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in CPB would have grown to $273, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 3.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. CPB has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CPB pay a dividend?
Yes. Campbell Soup Company currently pays a dividend yield of 484.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18